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PGP Glass Ceylon (COL:GLAS.N0000) Beneish M-Score : -2.07 (As of Jun. 19, 2024)


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What is PGP Glass Ceylon Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.07 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

COL:GLAS.N0000' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.38
Current: -2.07

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PGP Glass Ceylon was -1.38. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -2.49.


PGP Glass Ceylon Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PGP Glass Ceylon Beneish M-Score Chart

PGP Glass Ceylon Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.40 -2.29 -1.64 -1.38 -2.07

PGP Glass Ceylon Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.38 -2.26 -2.67 -2.68 -2.07

Competitive Comparison of PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PGP Glass Ceylon's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PGP Glass Ceylon Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PGP Glass Ceylon for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6425+0.528 * 0.9352+0.404 * 0.5564+0.892 * 0.8882+0.115 * 0.9528
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1902+4.679 * 0.025663-0.327 * 0.8489
=-2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was රු4,029 Mil.
Revenue was 5523.334 + 4513.804 + 3699.735 + 4086.637 = රු17,824 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1586.988 + 1445.467 + 1250.516 + 992.141 = රු5,275 Mil.
Total Current Assets was රු9,134 Mil.
Total Assets was රු14,255 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was රු5,117 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was රු750 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was රු1,439 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was රු2,302 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was රු16 Mil.
Net Income was 905.856 + 852.555 + 759.388 + 421.031 = රු2,939 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = රු0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 963.147 + 791.353 + 753.945 + 64.561 = රු2,573 Mil.
Total Receivables was රු2,762 Mil.
Revenue was 5377.833 + 5856.865 + 4947.868 + 3884.742 = රු20,067 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1544.199 + 1815.083 + 1269.567 + 925.63 = රු5,554 Mil.
Total Current Assets was රු7,654 Mil.
Total Assets was රු12,975 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was රු5,315 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was රු737 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was රු1,361 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was රු2,464 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was රු22 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4029.404 / 17823.51) / (2761.984 / 20067.308)
=0.226072 / 0.137636
=1.6425

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5554.479 / 20067.308) / (5275.112 / 17823.51)
=0.276792 / 0.295964
=0.9352

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9133.629 + 5117.309) / 14255.155) / (1 - (7653.802 + 5314.568) / 12975.27)
=0.000296 / 0.000532
=0.5564

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=17823.51 / 20067.308
=0.8882

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(737.011 / (737.011 + 5314.568)) / (749.962 / (749.962 + 5117.309))
=0.121788 / 0.127821
=0.9528

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1439.089 / 17823.51) / (1361.281 / 20067.308)
=0.080741 / 0.067836
=1.1902

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((16.366 + 2302.24) / 14255.155) / ((22.157 + 2463.875) / 12975.27)
=0.16265 / 0.191598
=0.8489

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2938.83 - 0 - 2573.006) / 14255.155
=0.025663

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PGP Glass Ceylon has a M-score of -2.07 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PGP Glass Ceylon Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PGP Glass Ceylon (COL:GLAS.N0000) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
148, Maligawa Road, Borupana, Ratmalana, LKA
PGP Glass Ceylon PLC, formerly Piramal Glass Ceylon PLC is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of glass bottles. It manufactures and sells bottles for Food and Beverages, Pharmaceuticals, and Cosmetics and Perfume industries.

PGP Glass Ceylon (COL:GLAS.N0000) Headlines

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