CXW (CoreCivic) Beneish M-Score: -2.10 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


CXW CoreCivic Inc CXW
69 GF Score
Price $29.89
GF Value $21.75
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is CoreCivic Beneish M-Score?

CoreCivic CXW +0.54% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates CXW with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $21.75 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,020 Business Services companies, CoreCivic ranks worse than 77.45% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.1 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CXW' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.67   Max: -1.57
Current: -2.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of CoreCivic was -1.57. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.67.


CoreCivic Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

CoreCivic Beneish M-Score Chart

CoreCivic Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.37 -2.70 -2.88 -2.22

CoreCivic Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.67 -2.62 -2.33 -2.22 -2.10

CXW vs NSSC, EVLV, GEO: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CoreCivic Beneish M-Score vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score falls into.


CXW
69GF Score
CoreCivic Inc CXW
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

CoreCivic Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of CoreCivic for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4188+0.528 * 0.9986+0.404 * 0.8421+0.892 * 1.1989+0.115 * 0.9934
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.975+4.679 * -0.010047-0.327 * 1.2155
=-2.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $480 Mil.
Revenue was 614.729 + 603.953 + 580.437 + 538.165 = $2,337 Mil.
Gross Profit was 147.01 + 134.06 + 130.881 + 139.823 = $552 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $743 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,368 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,122 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $132 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $177 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $305 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,381 Mil.
Net Income was 37.916 + 26.538 + 26.309 + 38.543 = $129 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -0.008 + -1.677 + 0.983 + -0.035 = $-1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 13.77 + -0.376 + 53.775 + 96.712 = $164 Mil.
Total Receivables was $282 Mil.
Revenue was 488.627 + 479.293 + 491.558 + 490.109 = $1,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was 113.89 + 110.592 + 120.74 + 114.374 = $460 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $413 Mil.
Total Assets was $3,002 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,058 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $127 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $152 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $267 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $970 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(479.8 / 2337.284) / (282.075 / 1949.587)
=0.205281 / 0.144684
=1.4188

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(459.596 / 1949.587) / (551.774 / 2337.284)
=0.23574 / 0.236075
=0.9986

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (743.497 + 2122.43) / 3367.995) / (1 - (413.452 + 2057.518) / 3002.446)
=0.14907 / 0.177014
=0.8421

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2337.284 / 1949.587
=1.1989

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(126.799 / (126.799 + 2057.518)) / (131.722 / (131.722 + 2122.43))
=0.05805 / 0.058435
=0.9934

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(177.24 / 2337.284) / (151.632 / 1949.587)
=0.075832 / 0.077776
=0.975

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1380.955 + 304.973) / 3367.995) / ((969.885 + 266.633) / 3002.446)
=0.500573 / 0.411837
=1.2155

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(129.306 - -0.737 - 163.881) / 3367.995
=-0.010047

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

CoreCivic has a M-score of -2.10 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 mean?
CoreCivic (CXW) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CoreCivic and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CoreCivic ranks #790 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 77.5%.
Is CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score too high?
CoreCivic's current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. Based on the distribution chart, CoreCivic ranks #790 out of 1020 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, CoreCivic has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CoreCivic's Beneish M-Score compare to NSSC and EVLV?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, CoreCivic ranks #790 out of 1020 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places CoreCivic in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Business Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on CoreCivic and its competitors. CoreCivic's current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CoreCivic stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CoreCivic (CXW) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $21.75, compared to a current price of $29.89 — trading 37.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. CoreCivic's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CoreCivic (CXW), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is CoreCivic (CXW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CoreCivic stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $29.89 is trading 37.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $21.75. GuruFocus considers CoreCivic to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CXW:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.10
  • GF Value™: $21.75 vs. price of $29.89 (37.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CXW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


CoreCivic Business Description

Other Exchanges PSRA:Germany
Address 5501 Virginia Way, Suite 110, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
CoreCivic Inc is an owner and operator of private prisons and detention centers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Safety, Community, and Properties. The Community segment owns and operates residential reentry centers. The Properties segment owns properties for lease to third parties and government agencies. The vast majority of the company's revenue comes from the CoreCivic Safety segment which consists of correctional and detention facilities that are owned, or controlled via a long-term lease, and managed by the company, as well as those correctional and detention facilities owned by third parties but managed by CoreCivic.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CXW

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$29.89
Price
$21.75
GF Value