CXW (CoreCivic) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CXW CoreCivic Inc CXW
63 GF Score
Price $30.65
GF Value $22.05
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is CoreCivic Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of CoreCivic is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

CoreCivic  (NYSE:CXW) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

CoreCivic Risk Assessment Related Terms

CXW vs BCO, GEO, BRC: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, CoreCivic's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

CoreCivic Risk Assessment vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, CoreCivic's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CoreCivic's Risk Assessment falls into.


CXW
63GF Score
CoreCivic Inc CXW
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is CoreCivic (CXW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CoreCivic stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $30.65 is trading 39% above its estimated GF Value™ of $22.05. GuruFocus considers CoreCivic to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CXW:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: $22.05 vs. price of $30.65 (39% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CXW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

CoreCivic Business Description

Other Exchanges PSRA:Germany
Address 5501 Virginia Way, Suite 110, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
CoreCivic Inc is an owner and operator of private prisons and detention centers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Safety, Community, and Properties. The Community segment owns and operates residential reentry centers. The Properties segment owns properties for lease to third parties and government agencies. The vast majority of the company's revenue comes from the CoreCivic Safety segment which consists of correctional and detention facilities that are owned, or controlled via a long-term lease, and managed by the company, as well as those correctional and detention facilities owned by third parties but managed by CoreCivic.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CXW

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$30.65
Price
$22.05
GF Value