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National Beverage (National Beverage) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is National Beverage Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Beverage's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FIZZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.06   Med: -2.61   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Beverage was -2.04. The lowest was -3.06. And the median was -2.61.


National Beverage Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Beverage's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Beverage Beneish M-Score Chart

National Beverage Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.46 -3.06 -2.63 -2.14 -2.44

National Beverage Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -2.44 -2.74 -2.64 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of National Beverage's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, National Beverage's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Beverage's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, National Beverage's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Beverage's Beneish M-Score falls into.



National Beverage Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Beverage for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0382+0.528 * 0.9379+0.404 * 0.7077+0.892 * 1.0091+0.115 * 1.1378
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9836+4.679 * -0.027759-0.327 * 0.8408
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jan24) TTM:Last Year (Jan23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $102 Mil.
Revenue was 270.065 + 300.074 + 324.24 + 286.699 = $1,181 Mil.
Gross Profit was 97.031 + 107.858 + 114.481 + 102.47 = $422 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $489 Mil.
Total Assets was $720 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $211 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $207 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $133 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $45 Mil.
Net Income was 39.592 + 43.788 + 49.631 + 36.303 = $169 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.167 + 2.716 + 2.063 + -2.526 = $2 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 35.406 + 31.916 + 70.143 + 49.412 = $187 Mil.
Total Receivables was $97 Mil.
Revenue was 268.483 + 299.633 + 318.117 + 284.22 = $1,170 Mil.
Gross Profit was 94.922 + 99.996 + 99.401 + 97.75 = $392 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $324 Mil.
Total Assets was $526 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $182 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $33 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $209 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $126 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $29 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(101.731 / 1181.078) / (97.104 / 1170.453)
=0.086134 / 0.082963
=1.0382

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(392.069 / 1170.453) / (421.84 / 1181.078)
=0.334972 / 0.357165
=0.9379

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (489.146 + 210.734) / 719.88) / (1 - (323.918 + 181.812) / 526.394)
=0.027782 / 0.039256
=0.7077

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1181.078 / 1170.453
=1.0091

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(33.472 / (33.472 + 181.812)) / (33.354 / (33.354 + 210.734))
=0.155478 / 0.136647
=1.1378

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(207.407 / 1181.078) / (208.963 / 1170.453)
=0.175608 / 0.178532
=0.9836

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((44.571 + 133.097) / 719.88) / ((28.987 + 125.522) / 526.394)
=0.246802 / 0.293523
=0.8408

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(169.314 - 2.42 - 186.877) / 719.88
=-0.027759

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Beverage has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Beverage Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Beverage (National Beverage) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8100 SW Tenth Street, Suite 4000, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33324
National Beverage Corp is a non-alcoholic beverage company in the U.S. Its portfolio skews toward functional drinks (that is those purporting to offer health benefits) and is anchored by the popular LaCroix sparkling water trademark. Other offerings include Rip It energy drinks, Everfresh juices, and soda brands like Shasta and Faygo. The firm controls the majority of its production and distribution apparatus, with very little outsourcing. In terms of go-to-market, it uses warehouse distribution for big-box retailers, direct-store delivery for convenience stores and other small outlets, and food-service distributors for the food-service channel (schools, hospitals, restaurants). It is controlled by chairman and CEO Nick Caporella, who owns over 73% of the common stock.
Executives
Cecil D Conlee director 950 E PACES FERRY RD, SUITE 2275, ATLANTA GA 30326
Stanley Michael Sheridan director 6203 PLUM DRIVE, WILLIAMSBURG MI 49690
Nick A Caporella director, 10 percent owner, officer: COB & CEO ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Joseph G Caporella director, officer: President 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Dennis L Thompson officer: EVP - Shasta Beverages, Inc. 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Gregory P Cook officer: VP - CONTROLLER & CAO 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Samuel C Hathorn director 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Gregory I Roberts officer: EVP - National BevPak 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
George R Bracken officer: EVP Finance 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Hagan John Ronald Jr officer: SEVP, Shasta Beverages, Inc. 8100 SW 10TH STREET, SUITE 4000, PLANTATION FL 33324
Kloch Joseph P Jr director ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Dean A Mccoy officer: Senior VP-Controller ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
Edward F Knecht officer: EVP - Procurement ONE NORTH UNIVERSITY DRIVE, BUILDING A,, 4TH FLOOR, PLANTATION FL 33324
S Lee Kling director 1401 S BRENTWOOD BLVD, ST LOUIS MO 63144