Krispy Kreme (FRA:9YM) Beneish M-Score: -3.08 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


FRA:9YM Krispy Kreme Inc FRA:9YM
55 GF Score
Price €3.06
GF Value €7.62
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Krispy Kreme Beneish M-Score?

Krispy Kreme FRA:9YM -6.13% 55 Beneish M-Score is -3.08 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:9YM with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.62 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 291 Retail - Defensive companies, Krispy Kreme ranks better than 85.22% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.08 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:9YM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.41
Current: -3.08

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Krispy Kreme was -2.41. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.60.


Krispy Kreme Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Krispy Kreme Beneish M-Score Chart

Krispy Kreme Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -2.77 -2.60 -2.53 -2.59 -2.88

Krispy Kreme Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.58 -2.74 -2.86 -2.88 -3.08

FRA:9YM vs NGVC, VLGEA, YSWY: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Krispy Kreme Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:9YM
55GF Score
Krispy Kreme Inc FRA:9YM
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Krispy Kreme Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Krispy Kreme for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7961+0.528 * 0.9981+0.404 * 0.9687+0.892 * 0.8778+0.115 * 0.7845
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9257+4.679 * -0.058985-0.327 * 1.1663
=-3.13

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €56 Mil.
Revenue was 317.484 + 335.081 + 319.754 + 329.258 = €1,302 Mil.
Gross Profit was 241.079 + 255.668 + 237.78 + 248.95 = €983 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €162 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,064 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €623 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €116 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €232 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €386 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,013 Mil.
Net Income was -19.708 + -23.723 + -16.566 + -377.37 = €-437 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.022 + -18.128 + -4.158 + -363.036 = €-379 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 17.444 + 38.446 + 36.024 + -28.215 = €64 Mil.
Total Receivables was €80 Mil.
Revenue was 347.045 + 385.842 + 342.26 + 407.654 = €1,483 Mil.
Gross Profit was 263.114 + 291.797 + 255.908 + 307.465 = €1,118 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €146 Mil.
Total Assets was €2,858 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €883 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €124 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €286 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €416 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,244 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(55.745 / 1301.577) / (79.774 / 1482.801)
=0.042829 / 0.0538
=0.7961

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1118.284 / 1482.801) / (983.477 / 1301.577)
=0.75417 / 0.755604
=0.9981

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (161.636 + 623.441) / 2064.37) / (1 - (146.137 + 883.448) / 2857.624)
=0.619701 / 0.639706
=0.9687

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1301.577 / 1482.801
=0.8778

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(124.274 / (124.274 + 883.448)) / (116.287 / (116.287 + 623.441))
=0.123322 / 0.157202
=0.7845

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(232.056 / 1301.577) / (285.59 / 1482.801)
=0.178288 / 0.192602
=0.9257

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1012.854 + 385.768) / 2064.37) / ((1244.297 + 415.747) / 2857.624)
=0.677505 / 0.580918
=1.1663

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-437.367 - -379.3 - 63.699) / 2064.37
=-0.058985

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Krispy Kreme has a M-score of -3.13 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.08 mean?
Krispy Kreme (FRA:9YM) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.08 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Krispy Kreme and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Krispy Kreme ranks #43 out of 291 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 14.8%.
Is Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score too high?
Krispy Kreme's current Beneish M-Score is -3.08. Based on the distribution chart, Krispy Kreme ranks #43 out of 291 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Krispy Kreme has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Krispy Kreme's Beneish M-Score compare to NGVC and VLGEA?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Krispy Kreme ranks #43 out of 291 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Krispy Kreme in the top 15% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Krispy Kreme and its competitors. Krispy Kreme's current Beneish M-Score is -3.08. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Krispy Kreme stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Krispy Kreme (FRA:9YM) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.62, compared to a current price of €3.06 — trading 59.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.08. Krispy Kreme's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Krispy Kreme (FRA:9YM), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.08 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Krispy Kreme (FRA:9YM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Krispy Kreme stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €3.06 is trading 59.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €7.62. GuruFocus considers Krispy Kreme to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for FRA:9YM:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.08
  • GF Value™: €7.62 vs. price of €3.06 (59.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:9YM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Krispy Kreme Business Description

Other Exchanges DNUT:USADNUT:Mexico
Address 2116 Hawkins Street, Suite 101, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28203
Krispy Kreme Inc is a sweet-treat brand company. The company's Original Glazed doughnut is recognized for its hot-off-the-line, melt-in-mouth experience. It operates through its network of fresh Doughnut Shops, partnerships with retailers, and a growing e-commerce and delivery business. The company conducts its business through the following three reported segments: U.S., which includes all operations in the United States; International, which includes operations in the U.K., Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan, and Mexico; and Market Development, which includes franchise operations world-wide. It derives maximum revenue from the U.S. segment.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:9YM

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€3.06
Price
€7.62
GF Value