AAON (FRA:AAO) Beneish M-Score: -1.83 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:AAO AAON Inc FRA:AAO
95 GF Score
Price €118.15
GF Value €105.62
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AAON Beneish M-Score?

AAON FRA:AAO +3.91% 95 Beneish M-Score is -1.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:AAO with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of €105.62 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,704 Construction companies, AAON ranks worse than 81.04% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAON's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:AAO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -2.41   Max: 8.93
Current: -1.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AAON was 8.93. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -2.41.


AAON Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AAON's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AAON Beneish M-Score Chart

AAON Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.93 -1.87 -2.24 -2.26 -1.52

AAON Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.60 -1.56 -1.45 -1.52 -1.83

FRA:AAO vs SPXC, WMS, OC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, AAON's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAON Beneish M-Score vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, AAON's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAON's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:AAO
95GF Score
AAON Inc FRA:AAO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AAON Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AAON for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3244+0.528 * 1.1806+0.404 * 0.7823+0.892 * 1.1894+0.115 * 1.0059
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0456+4.679 * 0.043211-0.327 * 1.2739
=-1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €526 Mil.
Revenue was 429.85 + 362.281 + 327.371 + 270.129 = €1,390 Mil.
Gross Profit was 108.095 + 93.744 + 91.046 + 71.726 = €365 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €816 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,548 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €581 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €70 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €193 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €311 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €381 Mil.
Net Income was 34.44 + 27.355 + 26.226 + 13.427 = €101 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.067 + 0.106 + -0.031 + -3.011 = €-3 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 29.405 + 16.498 + 10.442 + -18.923 = €37 Mil.
Total Receivables was €334 Mil.
Revenue was 297.9 + 284.321 + 294.854 + 291.303 = €1,168 Mil.
Gross Profit was 79.887 + 74.122 + 102.856 + 105.064 = €362 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €529 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,203 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €525 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €63 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €156 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €191 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €231 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(526.11 / 1389.631) / (333.991 / 1168.378)
=0.378597 / 0.285859
=1.3244

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(361.929 / 1168.378) / (364.611 / 1389.631)
=0.30977 / 0.26238
=1.1806

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (816.3 + 581.446) / 1548.101) / (1 - (528.863 + 524.501) / 1202.679)
=0.097122 / 0.124152
=0.7823

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1389.631 / 1168.378
=1.1894

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(63.48 / (63.48 + 524.501)) / (69.908 / (69.908 + 581.446))
=0.107963 / 0.107327
=1.0059

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(193.472 / 1389.631) / (155.567 / 1168.378)
=0.139225 / 0.133148
=1.0456

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((380.582 + 311.083) / 1548.101) / ((230.684 + 191.121) / 1202.679)
=0.446783 / 0.350721
=1.2739

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(101.448 - -2.869 - 37.422) / 1548.101
=0.043211

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AAON has a M-score of -1.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.83 mean?
AAON (FRA:AAO) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AAON and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AAON ranks #1381 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 81%.
Is AAON's Beneish M-Score too high?
AAON's current Beneish M-Score is -1.83. Based on the distribution chart, AAON ranks #1381 out of 1704 companies in the Construction industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, AAON has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AAON's Beneish M-Score compare to SPXC and WMS?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, AAON ranks #1381 out of 1704 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places AAON in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Construction company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Construction industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AAON and its competitors. AAON's current Beneish M-Score is -1.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AAON stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAON (FRA:AAO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €105.62, compared to a current price of €118.15 — trading 11.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.83. AAON's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AAON (FRA:AAO), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.83 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AAON (FRA:AAO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AAON stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €118.15 is trading 11.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €105.62. GuruFocus considers AAON to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:AAO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.83
  • GF Value™: €105.62 vs. price of €118.15 (11.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:AAO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AAON Business Description

Other Exchanges AAON:USA
Address 2425 South Yukon Avenue, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74107
AAON Inc is a manufacturer of air-conditioning and heating equipment. The products include rooftop units, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air-handling units, makeup air units, energy-recovery units, condensing units, geothermal heat pumps, and self-contained units and coils. The company operates through three segments: AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products, and BASX. It generates the majority of its revenue from the AAON Oklahoma segment which derives maximum revenue, engineers, manufactures, and sells, semi-custom, and custom HVAC systems, designs and manufactures control solutions, and sells retail parts to customers through retail part stores and online.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:AAO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€118.15
Price
€105.62
GF Value