Keyera (FRA:K2Y) Beneish M-Score: -2.68 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


FRA:K2Y Keyera Corp FRA:K2Y
80 GF Score
Price €34.80
GF Value €24.22
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Keyera Beneish M-Score?

Keyera FRA:K2Y 80 Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:K2Y with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of €24.22 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Keyera ranks better than 50.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Keyera's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:K2Y' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.15   Med: -2.6   Max: -1.65
Current: -2.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Keyera was -1.65. The lowest was -3.15. And the median was -2.60.


Keyera Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Keyera's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Keyera Beneish M-Score Chart

Keyera Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.85 -2.49 -2.89 -2.99 -2.83

Keyera Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.83 -3.04 -2.92 -2.83 -2.68

FRA:K2Y vs WMB, EPD, KMI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Keyera's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keyera Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Keyera's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keyera's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:K2Y
80GF Score
Keyera Corp FRA:K2Y
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Keyera Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Keyera for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3883+0.528 * 1.2671+0.404 * 0.6357+0.892 * 0.8143+0.115 * 0.9974
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0981+4.679 * -0.052145-0.327 * 1.3479
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €451 Mil.
Revenue was 820.027 + 1049.787 + 1101.633 + 1020.709 = €3,992 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3.455 + 151.704 + 139.661 + 173.706 = €469 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,495 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,339 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,728 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €236 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €107 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,178 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €3,797 Mil.
Net Income was -76.898 + 55.881 + 52.482 + 80.254 = €112 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -24.827 + -5.084 + -3.689 + -1.681 = €-35 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 203.024 + 179.573 + 106.744 + 92.499 = €582 Mil.
Total Receivables was €399 Mil.
Revenue was 1134.283 + 1297.932 + 1306.089 + 1164.44 = €4,903 Mil.
Gross Profit was 167.85 + 145.749 + 224.681 + 190.815 = €729 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €705 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,582 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €4,755 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €237 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €120 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €701 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,267 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(450.537 / 3992.156) / (398.544 / 4902.744)
=0.112856 / 0.08129
=1.3883

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(729.095 / 4902.744) / (468.526 / 3992.156)
=0.148712 / 0.117362
=1.2671

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3495.09 + 4728.282) / 8339.019) / (1 - (705.224 + 4755.411) / 5582.42)
=0.013868 / 0.021816
=0.6357

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3992.156 / 4902.744
=0.8143

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(237.1 / (237.1 + 4755.411)) / (236.388 / (236.388 + 4728.282))
=0.047491 / 0.047614
=0.9974

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(107.098 / 3992.156) / (119.778 / 4902.744)
=0.026827 / 0.024431
=1.0981

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3797.007 + 2178.061) / 8339.019) / ((2266.762 + 700.807) / 5582.42)
=0.716519 / 0.531592
=1.3479

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(111.719 - -35.281 - 581.84) / 8339.019
=-0.052145

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Keyera has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 mean?
Keyera (FRA:K2Y) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keyera and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Keyera ranks #408 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 49.6%.
Is Keyera's Beneish M-Score too high?
Keyera's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Based on the distribution chart, Keyera ranks #408 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Keyera has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Keyera's Beneish M-Score compare to WMB and EPD?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Keyera ranks #408 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Keyera in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Keyera and its competitors. Keyera's current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Keyera stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keyera (FRA:K2Y) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €24.22, compared to a current price of €34.80 — trading 43.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.68. Keyera's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Keyera (FRA:K2Y), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.68 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Keyera (FRA:K2Y) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Keyera stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €34.80 is trading 43.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €24.22. GuruFocus considers Keyera to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:K2Y:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.68
  • GF Value™: €24.22 vs. price of €34.80 (43.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:K2Y stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Keyera Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges KEYUF:USAKEY:Canada
Address 144 - 4th Avenue SW, Suite 200, The Ampersand, West Tower, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 3N4
Keyera Corp is a midstream energy business that operates out of Alberta. Its primary lines of business consist of the gathering and processing of natural gas in western Canada, the storage, transportation, and liquids blending for natural gas liquids and crude oil, and the marketing of natural gas liquids, iso-octane, and crude oil. The company operates in three reportable segments namely Gathering and Processing, Liquids Infrastructure and Marketing where Liquids Infrastructure is the key revenue segment.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:K2Y

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€34.80
Price
€24.22
GF Value