NRG Energy (FRA:NRA) Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


FRA:NRA NRG Energy Inc FRA:NRA
76 GF Score
Price €119.00
GF Value €95.80
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is NRG Energy Beneish M-Score?

NRG Energy FRA:NRA +2.76% 76 Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:NRA with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of €95.80 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, NRG Energy ranks worse than 79.49% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.99 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:NRA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.56   Med: -2.51   Max: 62.62
Current: -1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NRG Energy was 62.62. The lowest was -3.56. And the median was -2.51.


NRG Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NRG Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

NRG Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.29 -1.70 -2.72 -3.04 -2.47

NRG Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.67 -2.77 -2.47 -1.99

FRA:NRA vs TLN, OKLO, KEN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NRG Energy Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:NRA
76GF Score
NRG Energy Inc FRA:NRA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NRG Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NRG Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9806+0.528 * 1.3188+0.404 * 0.8046+0.892 * 1.0256+0.115 * 4.6606
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0201+4.679 * -0.014299-0.327 * 1.0311
=-2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €3,267 Mil.
Revenue was 8871.44 + 6621.062 + 6505.02 + 5843.58 = €27,841 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1209.27 + 1215.242 + 1187.688 + 963.237 = €4,575 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €8,583 Mil.
Total Assets was €34,646 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €11,838 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €821 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,274 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €10,248 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €17,252 Mil.
Net Income was 108.125 + 56.364 + 129.504 + -90.168 = €204 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -4.325 + -19.642 + 2.556 + -41.616 = €-63 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -146.185 + 105.042 + 412.368 + 391.017 = €762 Mil.
Total Receivables was €3,249 Mil.
Revenue was 7941.125 + 6512.145 + 6507.923 + 6186.211 = €27,147 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1872.2 + 1860.34 + -14.416 + 2165.499 = €5,884 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €9,134 Mil.
Total Assets was €23,117 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,186 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €947 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,174 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €8,603 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €9,192 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3267.105 / 27841.102) / (3248.6 / 27147.404)
=0.117348 / 0.119665
=0.9806

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5883.623 / 27147.404) / (4575.437 / 27841.102)
=0.216729 / 0.164341
=1.3188

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (8582.53 + 11838.39) / 34645.845) / (1 - (9134.375 + 2185.775) / 23116.675)
=0.410581 / 0.510304
=0.8046

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=27841.102 / 27147.404
=1.0256

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(947.011 / (947.011 + 2185.775)) / (821.109 / (821.109 + 11838.39))
=0.30229 / 0.064861
=4.6606

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2274.395 / 27841.102) / (2174.005 / 27147.404)
=0.081692 / 0.080082
=1.0201

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17251.56 + 10247.655) / 34645.845) / ((9191.725 + 8602.5) / 23116.675)
=0.793723 / 0.769757
=1.0311

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(203.825 - -63.027 - 762.242) / 34645.845
=-0.014299

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NRG Energy has a M-score of -2.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 mean?
NRG Energy (FRA:NRA) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NRG Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NRG Energy ranks #310 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 79.5%.
Is NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score too high?
NRG Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. Based on the distribution chart, NRG Energy ranks #310 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, NRG Energy has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NRG Energy's Beneish M-Score compare to TLN and OKLO?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, NRG Energy ranks #310 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places NRG Energy in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NRG Energy and its competitors. NRG Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NRG Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NRG Energy (FRA:NRA) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €95.80, compared to a current price of €119.00 — trading 24.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.99. NRG Energy's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NRG Energy (FRA:NRA), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.99 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NRG Energy (FRA:NRA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NRG Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €119.00 is trading 24.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of €95.80. GuruFocus considers NRG Energy to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:NRA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.99
  • GF Value™: €95.80 vs. price of €119.00 (24.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:NRA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NRG Energy Business Description

Address 1301 McKinney Street, Houston, TX, USA, 77010
NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the US, with 6 million customers. Vivint Smart Home, which NRG acquired in 2023, has 2 million home-services customers. NRG also is one of the largest US independent power producers, with 26 gigawatts of coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity in Texas and the Eastern US. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:NRA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€119.00
Price
€95.80
GF Value