Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:OGL Golub Capital BDC Inc FRA:OGL
62 GF Score
Price €10.59
GF Value €7.53
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Golub Capital BDC Beneish M-Score?

Golub Capital BDC FRA:OGL -0.42% 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:OGL with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of €7.53 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 955 Asset Management companies, Golub Capital BDC ranks better than 70.37% on this metric.

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Golub Capital BDC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:OGL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.75   Med: -2.09   Max: 5.56
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Golub Capital BDC was 5.56. The lowest was -2.75. And the median was -2.09.

FRA:OGL
62GF Score
Golub Capital BDC Inc FRA:OGL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Golub Capital BDC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Golub Capital BDC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1+0.892 * 0.736+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4331+4.679 * -0.037116-0.327 * 1.0265
=-2.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €58.2 Mil.
Revenue was -33.98 + 62.526 + 88.911 + 84.982 = €202.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was -33.98 + 62.526 + 88.911 + 84.982 = €202.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €7,378.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €18.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,067.6 Mil.
Net Income was -40.479 + 55.72 + 82.039 + 78.08 = €175.4 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 215.186 + 181.054 + 226.734 + -173.762 = €449.2 Mil.
 Total Receivables was €60.8 Mil.
Revenue was 77.881 + 113.438 + 84.913 + -1.177 = €275.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 77.881 + 113.438 + 84.913 + -1.177 = €275.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,278.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €0.0 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €0.0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €17.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €4,446.4 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(58.184 / 202.439) / (60.812 / 275.055)
=0.287415 / 0.22109
=1.3

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(275.055 / 275.055) / (202.439 / 202.439)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (0 + 0) / 7378.188) / (1 - (0 + 0) / 8278.625)
=1 / 1
=1

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=202.439 / 275.055
=0.736

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 0)) / (0 / (0 + 0))
= /
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(18.756 / 202.439) / (17.782 / 275.055)
=0.09265 / 0.064649
=1.4331

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4067.643 + 0) / 7378.188) / ((4446.399 + 0) / 8278.625)
=0.551306 / 0.537094
=1.0265

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(175.36 - 0 - 449.212) / 7378.188
=-0.037116

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Golub Capital BDC has a M-score of -2.70 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Golub Capital BDC and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Golub Capital BDC ranks #283 out of 955 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 29.6%.
Is Golub Capital BDC's Beneish M-Score too high?
Golub Capital BDC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Golub Capital BDC ranks #283 out of 955 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Golub Capital BDC has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Golub Capital BDC's Beneish M-Score compare to NEA and AB?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Golub Capital BDC ranks #283 out of 955 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Golub Capital BDC in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Asset Management company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Golub Capital BDC and its competitors. Golub Capital BDC's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Golub Capital BDC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €7.53, compared to a current price of €10.59 — trading 40.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Golub Capital BDC's overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Golub Capital BDC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €10.59 is trading 40.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.53. GuruFocus considers Golub Capital BDC to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:OGL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: €7.53 vs. price of €10.59 (40.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:OGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Golub Capital BDC Business Description

Other Exchanges GBDC:USA0IZ6:UK
Address 200 Park Avenue, 25th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10166
Golub Capital BDC Inc. is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. Its investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing in senior secured and one-stop loans in U.S. middle-market companies. It also invests in second-lien and subordinated loans, warrants, and minority equity securities in U.S. middle-market companies. The company generally invests in securities rated below investment grade by independent rating agencies, or those that would be rated below investment grade if evaluated. The company operates in the USA, Canada, and other countries, with the majority of its revenue coming from the USA.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:OGL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€10.59
Price
€7.53
GF Value