Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:OGL Golub Capital BDC Inc FRA:OGL
61 GF Score
Price €11.19
GF Value €7.68
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Golub Capital BDC Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Golub Capital BDC is: High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff.

Golub Capital BDC  (FRA:OGL) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Golub Capital BDC Risk Assessment Related Terms

FRA:OGL vs STEP, CSQ, AB: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Golub Capital BDC's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Golub Capital BDC Risk Assessment vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Golub Capital BDC's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Golub Capital BDC's Risk Assessment falls into.


FRA:OGL
61GF Score
Golub Capital BDC Inc FRA:OGL
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Golub Capital BDC (FRA:OGL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Golub Capital BDC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €11.19 is trading 45.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €7.68. GuruFocus considers Golub Capital BDC to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:OGL:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €7.68 vs. price of €11.19 (45.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:OGL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Golub Capital BDC Business Description

Other Exchanges GBDC:USA0IZ6:UK
Address 200 Park Avenue, 25th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10166
Golub Capital BDC Inc. is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. Its investment objective is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing in senior secured and one-stop loans in U.S. middle-market companies. It also invests in second-lien and subordinated loans, warrants, and minority equity securities in U.S. middle-market companies. The company generally invests in securities rated below investment grade by independent rating agencies, or those that would be rated below investment grade if evaluated. The company operates in the USA, Canada, and other countries, with the majority of its revenue coming from the USA.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:OGL

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€11.19
Price
€7.68
GF Value