Simmons First National Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Simmons First National for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.4881 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 0.9994 | + | 0.892 * 0.8228 | + | 0.115 * 1.079 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.1678 | + | 4.679 * -0.012005 | - | 0.327 * 0.8977 |
| = | -2.23 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Mar24) TTM: | Last Year (Mar23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was €113.0 Mil.
Revenue was 176.421 + 160.974 + 181.829 + 188.999 = €708.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was 176.421 + 160.974 + 181.829 + 188.999 = €708.2 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €25,182.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €530.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €43.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €312.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,139.0 Mil.
Net Income was 35.761 + 21.923 + 44.27 + 53.824 = €155.8 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 52.986 + 385.638 + -36.071 + 55.551 = €458.1 Mil.
|
Total Receivables was €92.3 Mil.
Revenue was 193.507 + 221.2 + 235.794 + 210.239 = €860.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 193.507 + 221.2 + 235.794 + 210.239 = €860.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €0.0 Mil.
Total Assets was €25,762.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €527.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €47.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €325.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €0.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,298.1 Mil.
|
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (112.959 / 708.223) | / | (92.256 / 860.74) |
| = | 0.159496 | / | 0.107182 |
| | = | 1.4881 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (860.74 / 860.74) | / | (708.223 / 708.223) |
| = | 1 | / | 1 |
| | = | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (0 + 530.349) / 25182.401) | / | (1 - (0 + 527.24) / 25762.939) |
| = | 0.97894 | / | 0.979535 |
| | = | 0.9994 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 708.223 | / | 860.74 |
| | = | 0.8228 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (47.299 / (47.299 + 527.24)) | / | (43.808 / (43.808 + 530.349)) |
| = | 0.082325 | / | 0.0763 |
| | = | 1.079 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (312.65 / 708.223) | / | (325.386 / 860.74) |
| = | 0.441457 | / | 0.378031 |
| | = | 1.1678 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((1139.009 + 0) / 25182.401) | / | ((1298.123 + 0) / 25762.939) |
| = | 0.04523 | / | 0.050387 |
| | = | 0.8977 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (155.778 - 0 | - | 458.104) | / | 25182.401 |
| | = | -0.012005 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Simmons First National has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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