National CineMedia (FRA:XWM0) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FRA:XWM0 National CineMedia Inc FRA:XWM0
60 GF Score
Price €3.02
GF Value €3.85
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is National CineMedia Beneish M-Score?

National CineMedia FRA:XWM0 +1.34% 60 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:XWM0 with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of €3.85. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 989 Media - Diversified companies, National CineMedia ranks better than 62.59% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:XWM0' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.07   Med: -2.95   Max: 216.84
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National CineMedia was 216.84. The lowest was -10.07. And the median was -2.95.


National CineMedia Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National CineMedia Beneish M-Score Chart

National CineMedia Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.31 -1.67 -2.28 -3.15 -2.63

National CineMedia Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.95 -3.03 -2.63 -2.75

FRA:XWM0 vs TC, NEXN, TSQ: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National CineMedia Beneish M-Score vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FRA:XWM0
60GF Score
National CineMedia Inc FRA:XWM0
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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National CineMedia Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National CineMedia for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.22+0.528 * 1.0903+0.404 * 0.9599+0.892 * 0.9377+0.115 * 1.0856
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9294+4.679 * -0.079164-0.327 * 1.463
=-2.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was €60.6 Mil.
Revenue was 29.41 + 79.593 + 54.017 + 44.911 = €207.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4.671 + 47.824 + 23.771 + 15.346 = €91.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €108.8 Mil.
Total Assets was €405.4 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €15.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €31.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €74.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €59.9 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €18.0 Mil.
Net Income was -24.739 + 25.022 + 1.363 + -9.277 = €-7.6 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1.47 + 4.697 + 2.726 + 0.867 = €6.8 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 15.656 + 7.088 + -0.852 + -4.248 = €17.6 Mil.
Total Receivables was €53.0 Mil.
Revenue was 32.282 + 82.417 + 56.222 + 50.816 = €221.7 Mil.
Gross Profit was 9.342 + 50.997 + 23.606 + 22.575 = €106.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €114.9 Mil.
Total Assets was €466.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €14.9 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €39.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €85.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €50.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €11.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(60.636 / 207.931) / (53.002 / 221.737)
=0.291616 / 0.239031
=1.22

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(106.52 / 221.737) / (91.612 / 207.931)
=0.480389 / 0.440588
=1.0903

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (108.817 + 15.829) / 405.425) / (1 - (114.885 + 14.892) / 466.015)
=0.692555 / 0.721518
=0.9599

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=207.931 / 221.737
=0.9377

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(39.231 / (39.231 + 14.892)) / (31.806 / (31.806 + 15.829))
=0.724849 / 0.667702
=1.0856

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(74.772 / 207.931) / (85.79 / 221.737)
=0.3596 / 0.3869
=0.9294

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((17.992 + 59.944) / 405.425) / ((11.007 + 50.227) / 466.015)
=0.192233 / 0.131399
=1.463

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-7.631 - 6.82 - 17.644) / 405.425
=-0.079164

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National CineMedia has a M-score of -2.80 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
National CineMedia (FRA:XWM0) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National CineMedia and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National CineMedia ranks #370 out of 989 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 37.4%.
Is National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score too high?
National CineMedia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, National CineMedia ranks #370 out of 989 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, National CineMedia has a GF Score™ of 60/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National CineMedia's Beneish M-Score compare to TC and NEXN?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, National CineMedia ranks #370 out of 989 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts National CineMedia in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on National CineMedia and its competitors. National CineMedia's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National CineMedia stock overvalued right now?
National CineMedia (FRA:XWM0) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.75. The stock's GF Value™ is €3.85, compared to a current price of €3.02 — trading 21.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. National CineMedia's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National CineMedia (FRA:XWM0), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National CineMedia (FRA:XWM0) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National CineMedia stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €3.02 is trading 21.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of €3.85.

Key valuation signals for FRA:XWM0:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: €3.85 vs. price of €3.02 (21.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:XWM0 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National CineMedia Business Description

Other Exchanges NCMI:USA
Address 6300 South Syracuse Way, Suite 300, Centennial, CO, USA, 80111
National CineMedia Inc is a cinema advertising platform in the U.S. It derives revenue from the sale of advertising to national, regional and local businesses through The Noovie Show and the CineLife Show, the cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens across the U.S., on LEN, a series of strategically-placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theater lobbies.
60GF Score

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Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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