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Carvana Co (HAM:CV0) Beneish M-Score : -3.28 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Carvana Co Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.28 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:CV0' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -0.33   Max: 2.76
Current: -3.28

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carvana Co was 2.76. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -0.33.


Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Chart

Carvana Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.82 -1.07 0.72 -1.59 -3.32

Carvana Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.44 -3.08 -3.35 -3.32 -3.28

Competitive Comparison of Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carvana Co's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carvana Co for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1892+0.528 * 0.5768+0.404 * 1.5085+0.892 * 0.8501+0.115 * 0.8711
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8123+4.679 * -0.187747-0.327 * 0.9061
=-3.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €323 Mil.
Revenue was 2816.12 + 2222.808 + 2598.301 + 2739.464 = €10,377 Mil.
Gross Profit was 543.72 + 368.634 + 451.634 + 460.577 = €1,825 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,973 Mil.
Total Assets was €6,424 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,097 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €315 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €1,645 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,172 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €5,491 Mil.
Net Income was 25.76 + -104.538 + 732.734 + -53.534 = €600 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 80.04 + 0 + 818.938 + 2.769 = €902 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 92.92 + -219.163 + 561.263 + 469.807 = €905 Mil.
Total Receivables was €319 Mil.
Revenue was 2434.004 + 2678.128 + 3419.86 + 3674.264 = €12,206 Mil.
Gross Profit was 318.494 + 182.192 + 362.59 + 374.616 = €1,238 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €4,311 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,075 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €3,469 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €304 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €2,382 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,662 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €6,581 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(322.92 / 10376.693) / (319.428 / 12206.256)
=0.03112 / 0.026169
=1.1892

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1237.892 / 12206.256) / (1824.565 / 10376.693)
=0.101415 / 0.175833
=0.5768

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2973.44 + 3096.72) / 6424.36) / (1 - (4311.344 + 3468.876) / 8075.364)
=0.055134 / 0.036549
=1.5085

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10376.693 / 12206.256
=0.8501

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(303.594 / (303.594 + 3468.876)) / (315.223 / (315.223 + 3096.72))
=0.080476 / 0.092388
=0.8711

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1645 / 10376.693) / (2382.082 / 12206.256)
=0.158528 / 0.195153
=0.8123

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5490.56 + 1172.08) / 6424.36) / ((6580.964 + 2661.9) / 8075.364)
=1.03709 / 1.144576
=0.9061

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(600.422 - 901.747 - 904.827) / 6424.36
=-0.187747

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carvana Co has a M-score of -3.29 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Carvana Co Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Carvana Co (HAM:CV0) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ, USA, 85281
Carvana Co is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The company derives revenue from used vehicle sales, wholesale vehicle sales and other sales and revenues. The other sales and revenues include sales of loans originated and sold in securitization transactions or to financing partners, commissions received on VSCs and sales of GAP waiver coverage. The foundation of the business is retail vehicle unit sales. This drives the majority of the revenue and allows the company to capture additional revenue streams associated with financing, VSCs, auto insurance and GAP waiver coverage, as well as trade-in vehicles.

Carvana Co (HAM:CV0) Headlines

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