HCMLY (Holcim) Beneish M-Score: -1.45 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


HCMLY Holcim Ltd HCMLY
60 GF Score
Price $18.35
GF Value $7.38
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is Holcim Beneish M-Score?

Holcim HCMLY -1.82% 60 Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates HCMLY with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.38 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Building Materials companies, Holcim ranks worse than 91.03% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.45 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Holcim's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HCMLY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.65   Max: -1.45
Current: -1.45

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Holcim was -1.45. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.65.


Holcim Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Holcim's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Holcim Beneish M-Score Chart

Holcim Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.62 -2.66 -2.45 -1.45

Holcim Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.66 0.00 -2.45 0.00 -1.45

HCMLY vs CRH, VMC, MLM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Building Materials subindustry, Holcim's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Holcim Beneish M-Score vs Building Materials Industry

For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, Holcim's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Holcim's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HCMLY
60GF Score
Holcim Ltd HCMLY
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Holcim Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Holcim for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7171+0.528 * 1.0299+0.404 * 0.8355+0.892 * 1.0859+0.115 * 0.6311
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9571+4.679 * 0.30921-0.327 * 1.145
=-1.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,977 Mil.
Revenue was $19,731 Mil.
Gross Profit was $8,356 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $12,304 Mil.
Total Assets was $42,170 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,722 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,695 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,558 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,271 Mil.
Net Income was $16,538 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $3,499 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,822 Mil.
Revenue was $18,171 Mil.
Gross Profit was $7,925 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $13,669 Mil.
Total Assets was $60,885 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $22,776 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,491 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,348 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $10,940 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $12,464 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2976.534 / 19731.459) / (3822.342 / 18170.704)
=0.150852 / 0.210357
=0.7171

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7925.079 / 18170.704) / (8356.13 / 19731.459)
=0.436146 / 0.423493
=1.0299

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (12303.928 + 15722.173) / 42169.657) / (1 - (13668.686 + 22775.908) / 60884.926)
=0.335397 / 0.401418
=0.8355

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=19731.459 / 18170.704
=1.0859

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1490.579 / (1490.579 + 22775.908)) / (1695.319 / (1695.319 + 15722.173))
=0.061425 / 0.097334
=0.6311

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5557.786 / 19731.459) / (5347.69 / 18170.704)
=0.281671 / 0.294303
=0.9571

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((9270.925 + 9289.748) / 42169.657) / ((12464.109 + 10939.883) / 60884.926)
=0.440143 / 0.384397
=1.145

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(16537.834 - 0 - 3498.557) / 42169.657
=0.30921

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Holcim has a M-score of -1.35 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 mean?
Holcim (HCMLY) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Holcim and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Holcim ranks #355 out of 390 companies in the Building Materials industry, placing it in the top 91%.
Is Holcim's Beneish M-Score too high?
Holcim's current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. Based on the distribution chart, Holcim ranks #355 out of 390 companies in the Building Materials industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Holcim has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Holcim's Beneish M-Score compare to CRH and VMC?
According to the Building Materials industry distribution chart, Holcim ranks #355 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Holcim in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Building Materials company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Holcim and its competitors. Holcim's current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Holcim stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Holcim (HCMLY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.38, compared to a current price of $18.35 — trading 148.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.45. Holcim's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Holcim (HCMLY), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.45 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Holcim (HCMLY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Holcim stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $18.35 is trading 148.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $7.38. GuruFocus considers Holcim to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HCMLY:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.45
  • GF Value™: $7.38 vs. price of $18.35 (148.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HCMLY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Holcim Business Description

Address Grafenauweg 10, Zug, CHE, CH-6300
Holcim is a leader in sustainable construction operating across Europe, Latin America and Asia, Middle East and Africa. Holcim provides high-value Building Materials and Building Solutions, from foundations and flooring to roofing and walling with brands including ECOPact, ECOPlanet and ECOCycle.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HCMLY

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$18.35
Price
$7.38
GF Value