HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations) Beneish M-Score: -2.50 (As of Aug. 20, 2026)

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HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc HGV
81 GF Score
Price $44.55
GF Value $57.45
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hilton Grand Vacations Beneish M-Score?

Hilton Grand Vacations HGV -1.71% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.50 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates HGV with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $57.45 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 820 Travel & Leisure companies, Hilton Grand Vacations ranks worse than 61.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.5 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Grand Vacations's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HGV' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.33   Med: -2.35   Max: 1.53
Current: -2.5

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hilton Grand Vacations was 1.53. The lowest was -3.33. And the median was -2.35.


Hilton Grand Vacations Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hilton Grand Vacations's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hilton Grand Vacations Beneish M-Score Chart

Hilton Grand Vacations Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.76 -1.31 -2.89 -2.27 -2.56

Hilton Grand Vacations Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.65 -2.60 -2.56 -2.58 -2.50

HGV vs RRR, VAC, PENN: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Hilton Grand Vacations's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Grand Vacations Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hilton Grand Vacations's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Grand Vacations's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HGV
81GF Score
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc HGV
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hilton Grand Vacations for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0814+0.528 * 0.9822+0.404 * 0.9253+0.892 * 1.0544+0.115 * 0.9776
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0111+4.679 * -0.016593-0.327 * 1.0614
=-2.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,903 Mil.
Revenue was 1358 + 1285 + 1333 + 1300 = $5,276 Mil.
Gross Profit was 349 + 328 + 2341 + 327 = $3,345 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,017 Mil.
Total Assets was $12,234 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $962 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $289 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,098 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $2,033 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,851 Mil.
Net Income was 12 + 66 + 48 + 25 = $151 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -60 + -8 + -19 + -22 = $-109 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 134 + 128 + 167 + 34 = $463 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,423 Mil.
Revenue was 1266 + 1148 + 1284 + 1306 = $5,004 Mil.
Gross Profit was 308 + 250 + 2197 + 361 = $3,116 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,421 Mil.
Total Assets was $11,738 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $905 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $264 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,968 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,767 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,168 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3903 / 5276) / (3423 / 5004)
=0.739765 / 0.684053
=1.0814

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3116 / 5004) / (3345 / 5276)
=0.622702 / 0.634003
=0.9822

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7017 + 962) / 12234) / (1 - (6421 + 905) / 11738)
=0.347801 / 0.375873
=0.9253

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=5276 / 5004
=1.0544

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(264 / (264 + 905)) / (289 / (289 + 962))
=0.225834 / 0.231015
=0.9776

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2098 / 5276) / (1968 / 5004)
=0.39765 / 0.393285
=1.0111

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7851 + 2033) / 12234) / ((7168 + 1767) / 11738)
=0.807912 / 0.761203
=1.0614

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(151 - -109 - 463) / 12234
=-0.016593

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hilton Grand Vacations has a M-score of -2.50 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.50 mean?
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.50 as of Aug. 20, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hilton Grand Vacations and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Hilton Grand Vacations ranks #506 out of 820 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 61.7%.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations' Beneish M-Score too high?
Hilton Grand Vacations' current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. Based on the distribution chart, Hilton Grand Vacations ranks #506 out of 820 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Hilton Grand Vacations has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hilton Grand Vacations' Beneish M-Score compare to RRR and VAC?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Hilton Grand Vacations ranks #506 out of 820 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Hilton Grand Vacations in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Hilton Grand Vacations and its competitors. Hilton Grand Vacations's current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $57.45, compared to a current price of $44.55 — trading 22.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.50. Hilton Grand Vacations' overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.50 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilton Grand Vacations stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $44.55 is trading 22.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $57.45. GuruFocus considers Hilton Grand Vacations to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HGV:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.50
  • GF Value™: $57.45 vs. price of $44.55 (22.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HGV stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hilton Grand Vacations Business Description

Other Exchanges HIE:Germany
Address 6355 MetroWest Boulevard, Suite 180, Orlando, FL, USA, 32835
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc is a timeshare company engaged in developing, marketing, selling, managing, and operating timeshare resorts and timeshare plans under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company operates in two segments: Real estate sales and financing, and Resort operations and club management. The Real estate sales and financing segment generates revenue from VOI sales and consumer financing, including interest income from loans to members. The Resort operations and club management segment generates revenue from resort management services, club membership fees, and rental of available inventory. The majority of the company's revenue is earned through the Real estate sales and financing segment.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HGV

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$44.55
Price
$57.45
GF Value