HKHHF (Heineken Holding NV) Beneish M-Score: -2.91 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


HKHHF Heineken Holding NV HKHHF
81 GF Score
Price $73.85
GF Value $78.95
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Heineken Holding NV Beneish M-Score?

Heineken Holding NV HKHHF 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKHHF with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of $78.95 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Heineken Holding NV ranks better than 76.12% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.91 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKHHF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.24   Med: -2.77   Max: -2.33
Current: -2.91

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Heineken Holding NV was -2.33. The lowest was -3.24. And the median was -2.77.


Heineken Holding NV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Heineken Holding NV Beneish M-Score Chart

Heineken Holding NV Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.48 -2.69 -3.01 -2.91

Heineken Holding NV Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 0.00 -3.01 0.00 -2.91

HKHHF vs STZ, TAP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heineken Holding NV Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKHHF
81GF Score
Heineken Holding NV HKHHF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Heineken Holding NV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Heineken Holding NV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0222+0.528 * 0.9848+0.404 * 0.932+0.892 * 1.0782+0.115 * 0.9883
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.075925-0.327 * 1.075
=-2.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $4,646 Mil.
Revenue was $33,669 Mil.
Gross Profit was $12,047 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $15,148 Mil.
Total Assets was $62,616 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $17,022 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3,006 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $16,314 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $18,959 Mil.
Net Income was $1,115 Mil.
Gross Profit was $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $5,869 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4,216 Mil.
Revenue was $31,226 Mil.
Gross Profit was $11,003 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $11,413 Mil.
Total Assets was $55,995 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,369 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2,676 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $14,909 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $14,432 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4646.37 / 33668.618) / (4215.707 / 31226.178)
=0.138003 / 0.135006
=1.0222

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11003.141 / 31226.178) / (12046.838 / 33668.618)
=0.352369 / 0.357806
=0.9848

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (15147.541 + 17022.248) / 62615.925) / (1 - (11412.565 + 15368.586) / 55994.764)
=0.486236 / 0.52172
=0.932

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=33668.618 / 31226.178
=1.0782

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2676.44 / (2676.44 + 15368.586)) / (3005.855 / (3005.855 + 17022.248))
=0.14832 / 0.150082
=0.9883

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 33668.618) / (0 / 31226.178)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18959.016 + 16313.817) / 62615.925) / ((14432.461 + 14908.901) / 55994.764)
=0.56332 / 0.524002
=1.075

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1114.754 - 0 - 5868.852) / 62615.925
=-0.075925

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Heineken Holding NV has a M-score of -2.81 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 mean?
Heineken Holding NV (HKHHF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.91 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Heineken Holding NV and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #48 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 23.9%.
Is Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score too high?
Heineken Holding NV's current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Based on the distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #48 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Heineken Holding NV has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Heineken Holding NV's Beneish M-Score compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Heineken Holding NV ranks #48 out of 201 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Heineken Holding NV in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Heineken Holding NV and its competitors. Heineken Holding NV's current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Heineken Holding NV stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heineken Holding NV (HKHHF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $78.95, compared to a current price of $73.85 — trading 6.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.91. Heineken Holding NV's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Heineken Holding NV (HKHHF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.91 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Heineken Holding NV (HKHHF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Heineken Holding NV stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $73.85 is trading 6.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $78.95. GuruFocus considers Heineken Holding NV to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKHHF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.91
  • GF Value™: $78.95 vs. price of $73.85 (6.5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKHHF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Heineken Holding NV Business Description

Address Tweede Weteringplantsoen 5, PO Box 28, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1017 ZD
Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary, is involved in the brewing and selling of beer and cider. It does not engage in operational activities and generates income almost exclusively by receiving Heineken dividends. The company has five reportable segments: Europe, Americas, Africa & Middle East, Asia Pacific and Heineken N.V. Head Office & Other/Eliminations. The majority of the revenue is generated from the Europe segment.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKHHF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$73.85
Price
$78.95
GF Value