Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings (HKSE:00306) Beneish M-Score: -2.75 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


HKSE:00306 Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd HKSE:00306
71 GF Score
Price HK$2.75
GF Value HK$2.99
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings HKSE:00306 -2.14% 71 Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00306 with a GF Score™ of 71/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$2.99 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 964 Transportation companies, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings ranks better than 65.56% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.75 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00306' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.53   Med: -2.67   Max: -1.62
Current: -2.75

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings was -1.62. The lowest was -4.53. And the median was -2.67.


Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.00 -3.32 -1.62 -2.75 0.00

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 0.00 -2.75 0.00 0.00

HKSE:00306 vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:00306
71GF Score
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd HKSE:00306
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9231+0.528 * 0.8332+0.404 * 0.9888+0.892 * 1.2074+0.115 * 0.9839
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.018+4.679 * -0.061291-0.327 * 1.0053
=-2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$546 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,530 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$662 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,092 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,872 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,423 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$280 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$453 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$904 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,561 Mil.
Net Income was HK$127 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$426 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$490 Mil.
Revenue was HK$2,095 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$457 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$922 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$4,577 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,415 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$273 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$369 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$785 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,519 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(545.832 / 2529.916) / (489.735 / 2095.417)
=0.215751 / 0.233717
=0.9231

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(456.795 / 2095.417) / (661.887 / 2529.916)
=0.217997 / 0.261624
=0.8332

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1091.799 + 1422.899) / 4872.202) / (1 - (922.086 + 1415.359) / 4577.449)
=0.483868 / 0.489356
=0.9888

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2529.916 / 2095.417
=1.2074

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(273.442 / (273.442 + 1415.359)) / (280.274 / (280.274 + 1422.899))
=0.161915 / 0.16456
=0.9839

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(453.387 / 2529.916) / (368.887 / 2095.417)
=0.17921 / 0.176045
=1.018

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1561.01 + 904.351) / 4872.202) / ((1519.16 + 784.731) / 4577.449)
=0.506005 / 0.503313
=1.0053

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(127.132 - 0 - 425.753) / 4872.202
=-0.061291

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings has a M-score of -2.75 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 mean?
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings (HKSE:00306) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.75 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings ranks #332 out of 964 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 34.4%.
Is Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Based on the distribution chart, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings ranks #332 out of 964 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings ranks #332 out of 964 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings and its competitors. Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings (HKSE:00306) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$2.99, compared to a current price of HK$2.75 — trading 8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.75. Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings (HKSE:00306), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.75 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings (HKSE:00306) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$2.75 is trading 8% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$2.99. GuruFocus considers Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00306:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.75
  • GF Value™: HK$2.99 vs. price of HK$2.75 (8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 71/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00306 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Business Description

Address 8 Chong Fu Road, 3rd Floor, Chai Wan, Hong Kong, HKG
Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Ltd is engaged in transportation businesses. The company's operating segment includes a Non-franchised Bus; Limousine; Franchised Bus and PLB; Mainland China Business and Others. It generates maximum revenue from the Non-franchised bus segment. The Non-franchised bus segment includes the provision of non-franchised bus hire services in Hong Kong, cross-boundary passenger transportation services (other than limousine hire services) between Hong Kong and Mainland China, and other related services. Geographically, it operates in Hong Kong and Macau; and Chinese Mainland.
71GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00306

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$2.75
Price
HK$2.99
GF Value