Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) Beneish M-Score: -2.24 (As of Aug. 02, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:00475 Central Development Holdings Ltd HKSE:00475
18 GF Score
Price HK$0.41
GF Value HK$0.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Central Development Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Central Development Holdings HKSE:00475 18 Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00475 with a GF Score™ of 18/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 820 Oil & Gas companies, Central Development Holdings ranks worse than 74.27% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.24 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Development Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00475' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.49   Med: -2.27   Max: 12.46
Current: -2.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Central Development Holdings was 12.46. The lowest was -5.49. And the median was -2.27.


Central Development Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Central Development Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Central Development Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Central Development Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.72 -2.33 -2.37 -2.27 -2.24

Central Development Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 0.00 -2.27 0.00 -2.24

HKSE:00475 vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Central Development Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Development Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Central Development Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Development Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:00475
18GF Score
Central Development Holdings Ltd HKSE:00475
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Central Development Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Central Development Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.7314+0.528 * 0.6783+0.404 * 0.8803+0.892 * 0.4597+0.115 * 1.0986
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.934+4.679 * -0.113327-0.327 * 0.9155
=-2.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$14.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$104.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$7.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$73.7 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$215.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$21.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$3.9 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$21.3 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$38.8 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$142.3 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-25.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$-1.4 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$11.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$228.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$11.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$73.3 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$263.8 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$22.7 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$4.6 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$24.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$100.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$141.5 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(14.894 / 104.85) / (11.863 / 228.105)
=0.142051 / 0.052007
=2.7314

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(11.282 / 228.105) / (7.645 / 104.85)
=0.04946 / 0.072914
=0.6783

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (73.707 + 21.242) / 215.801) / (1 - (73.306 + 22.685) / 263.827)
=0.560016 / 0.636159
=0.8803

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=104.85 / 228.105
=0.4597

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4.649 / (4.649 + 22.685)) / (3.891 / (3.891 + 21.242))
=0.170081 / 0.154816
=1.0986

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(21.311 / 104.85) / (23.973 / 228.105)
=0.203252 / 0.105096
=1.934

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((142.272 + 38.776) / 215.801) / ((141.523 + 100.235) / 263.827)
=0.838958 / 0.91635
=0.9155

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-25.902 - 0 - -1.446) / 215.801
=-0.113327

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Central Development Holdings has a M-score of -2.24 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 mean?
Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.24 as of Aug. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Central Development Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #609 out of 820 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 74.3%.
Is Central Development Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Central Development Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Based on the distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #609 out of 820 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Central Development Holdings has a GF Score™ of 18/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Central Development Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #609 out of 820 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Central Development Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Central Development Holdings and its competitors. Central Development Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Central Development Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.26, compared to a current price of HK$0.41 — trading 57.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.24. Central Development Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 18/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.24 as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Development Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.41 is trading 57.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.26. GuruFocus considers Central Development Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00475:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.24
  • GF Value™: HK$0.26 vs. price of HK$0.41 (57.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 18/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00475 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Central Development Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 178 Gloucester Road, Room 2202, 22nd Floor, Wanchai, Chinachem Century Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
Central Development Holdings Ltd is principally engaged in the Jewelry business and Solar energy business segments. The Jewelry business segment involves the wholesale of jewelry. Its Energy Business segment is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of solar cooling intelligent technology products using thermal cooling-stored pipes and sales of solar photovoltaic modules and components, as well as sales of refined oil and sales of liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company generates maximum revenue from the Energy segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the PRC.
18GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00475

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.41
Price
HK$0.26
GF Value