Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) Altman Z-Score: -0.96 (As of Aug. 02, 2026)

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HKSE:00475 Central Development Holdings Ltd HKSE:00475
18 GF Score
Price HK$0.41
GF Value HK$0.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score?

Central Development Holdings HKSE:00475 18 Altman Z-Score is -0.96 as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00475 with a GF Score™ of 18/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 897 Oil & Gas companies, Central Development Holdings ranks worse than 88.18% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.96 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Central Development Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -0.96, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00475' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.05   Med: 0.62   Max: 153.81
Current: -0.96

During the past 13 years, Central Development Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 153.81. The lowest was -1.05. And the median was 0.62.


Central Development Holdings  (HKSE:00475) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Central Development Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.32 -0.01 -0.34 -0.48 -1.05

Central Development Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.34 0.00 -0.48 0.00 -1.05

HKSE:00475 vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.


HKSE:00475
18GF Score
Central Development Holdings Ltd HKSE:00475
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Central Development Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Central Development Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.1619+1.4*-1.5334+3.3*-0.0396+0.6*1.0655+1.0*0.4859
=-0.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was HK$215.8 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$73.7 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$38.8 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-330.9 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-25.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-16.5 Mil.
Revenue was HK$104.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$204.8 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$192.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(73.707 - 38.776)/215.801
=0.1619

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-330.91/215.801
=-1.5334

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-25.021 - -16.474)/215.801
=-0.0396

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=204.828/192.245
=1.0655

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=104.85/215.801
=0.4859

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Central Development Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -0.96 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of -0.96 mean?
Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) has a Altman Z-Score of -0.96 as of Aug. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Central Development Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #791 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 88.2%.
Is Central Development Holdings' Altman Z-Score too high?
Central Development Holdings' current Altman Z-Score is -0.96. Based on the distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #791 out of 897 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Central Development Holdings has a GF Score™ of 18/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Central Development Holdings' Altman Z-Score compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Central Development Holdings ranks #791 out of 897 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Central Development Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.95. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Oil & Gas companies is 1.95, based on 897 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Central Development Holdings and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Central Development Holdings's current Altman Z-Score is -0.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Central Development Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.26, compared to a current price of HK$0.41 — trading 57.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is -0.96. Central Development Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 18/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475), the current Altman Z-Score is -0.96 as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Central Development Holdings (HKSE:00475) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Central Development Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.41 is trading 57.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.26. GuruFocus considers Central Development Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00475:

  • Altman Z-Score: -0.96
  • GF Value™: HK$0.26 vs. price of HK$0.41 (57.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 18/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00475 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Central Development Holdings Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 178 Gloucester Road, Room 2202, 22nd Floor, Wanchai, Chinachem Century Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
Central Development Holdings Ltd is principally engaged in the Jewelry business and Solar energy business segments. The Jewelry business segment involves the wholesale of jewelry. Its Energy Business segment is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of solar cooling intelligent technology products using thermal cooling-stored pipes and sales of solar photovoltaic modules and components, as well as sales of refined oil and sales of liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company generates maximum revenue from the Energy segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the PRC.
18GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00475

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.41
Price
HK$0.26
GF Value