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China Merchants Commercial REIT (HKSE:01503) Beneish M-Score : -3.05 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01503' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.05   Med: -2.41   Max: 8.92
Current: -3.05

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of China Merchants Commercial REIT was 8.92. The lowest was -3.05. And the median was -2.41.


China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Chart

China Merchants Commercial REIT Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 8.92 -2.41 -2.73 -3.05

China Merchants Commercial REIT Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.73 - -3.05 -

Competitive Comparison of China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Office subindustry, China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Commercial REIT's Beneish M-Score falls into.



China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of China Merchants Commercial REIT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.0791+0.528 * 1.0153+0.404 * 1.0097+0.892 * 1.1098+0.115 * 4.0454
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7802+4.679 * -0.044696-0.327 * 1.0271
=-3.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$7.9 Mil.
Revenue was HK$535.0 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$388.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,238.4 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$11,362.1 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$5.1 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$17.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$436.7 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$4,433.9 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-207.2 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$300.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$90.1 Mil.
Revenue was HK$482.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$355.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$1,425.7 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$12,087.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$0.8 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$0.1 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$19.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$519.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$4,525.6 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7.911 / 535.032) / (90.078 / 482.088)
=0.014786 / 0.18685
=0.0791

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(355.435 / 482.088) / (388.543 / 535.032)
=0.737282 / 0.726205
=1.0153

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1238.427 + 5.12) / 11362.095) / (1 - (1425.671 + 0.776) / 12087.722)
=0.890553 / 0.881992
=1.0097

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=535.032 / 482.088
=1.1098

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0.09 / (0.09 + 0.776)) / (0.135 / (0.135 + 5.12))
=0.103926 / 0.02569
=4.0454

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(16.97 / 535.032) / (19.598 / 482.088)
=0.031718 / 0.040652
=0.7802

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4433.878 + 436.703) / 11362.095) / ((4525.642 + 519.376) / 12087.722)
=0.428669 / 0.417367
=1.0271

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-207.15 - 0 - 300.694) / 11362.095
=-0.044696

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

China Merchants Commercial REIT has a M-score of -3.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


China Merchants Commercial REIT Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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China Merchants Commercial REIT Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
China Merchants Tower, Shun Tak Centre, Room 2603-2606, 26th Floor, Connaught Road Central, Hong Kong, HKG, 168-200
China Merchants Commercial REIT and its subsidiaries are engaged in property investment. The operating business segments of the company are office buildings and shopping center. Its properties include New Times Plaza, Cyberport Building, Technology Building, Garden City Shopping Centre, and Technology Building 2 among others.
Executives
Pacific Asset Management Co., Ltd. 2501 Other
China Merchants Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Eureka Investment Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Hsbc International Trustee Limited 2301 Trustee
Cwl Assets (ptc) Limited 2301 Trustee
K. Wah Properties (holdings) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Polymate Co., Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Premium Capital Profits Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Star Ii Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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