Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) Beneish M-Score: -3.15 (As of Aug. 10, 2026)

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HKSE:02150 Nayuki Holdings Ltd HKSE:02150
74 GF Score
Price HK$0.74
GF Value HK$1.57
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Nayuki Holdings HKSE:02150 +1.37% 74 Beneish M-Score is -3.15 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02150 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$1.57 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 357 Restaurants companies, Nayuki Holdings ranks better than 74.51% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.15 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02150' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.14   Med: -2.79   Max: 34.89
Current: -3.15

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nayuki Holdings was 34.89. The lowest was -6.14. And the median was -2.79.


Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Nayuki Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -6.14 -0.77 -2.43 -3.25 -3.15

Nayuki Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 0.00 -3.25 0.00 -3.15

HKSE:02150 vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nayuki Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


HKSE:02150
74GF Score
Nayuki Holdings Ltd HKSE:02150
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nayuki Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nayuki Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9067+0.528 * 0.9008+0.404 * 0.8286+0.892 * 0.9107+0.115 * 0.9945
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8586+4.679 * -0.095985-0.327 * 0.8817
=-3.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was HK$74 Mil.
Revenue was HK$4,785 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,811 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,304 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$5,901 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$1,884 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$599 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$331 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,014 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$867 Mil.
Net Income was HK$-264 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was HK$302 Mil.
Total Receivables was HK$90 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,254 Mil.
Gross Profit was HK$1,791 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$3,089 Mil.
Total Assets was HK$6,582 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was HK$2,533 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was HK$799 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was HK$423 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$1,231 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was HK$1,149 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(74.254 / 4784.811) / (89.928 / 5254.229)
=0.015519 / 0.017115
=0.9067

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1791.113 / 5254.229) / (1810.815 / 4784.811)
=0.34089 / 0.378451
=0.9008

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3303.755 + 1883.974) / 5901.001) / (1 - (3089.154 + 2532.948) / 6582.358)
=0.120873 / 0.145883
=0.8286

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4784.811 / 5254.229
=0.9107

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(799.394 / (799.394 + 2532.948)) / (598.932 / (598.932 + 1883.974))
=0.23989 / 0.241222
=0.9945

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(330.82 / 4784.811) / (423.102 / 5254.229)
=0.06914 / 0.080526
=0.8586

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((866.651 + 1014.076) / 5901.001) / ((1148.62 + 1230.687) / 6582.358)
=0.318713 / 0.361467
=0.8817

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-264.12 - 0 - 302.285) / 5901.001
=-0.095985

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nayuki Holdings has a M-score of -3.15 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.15 mean?
Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.15 as of Aug. 10, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nayuki Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Nayuki Holdings ranks #91 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 25.5%.
Is Nayuki Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Nayuki Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -3.15. Based on the distribution chart, Nayuki Holdings ranks #91 out of 357 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Nayuki Holdings has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nayuki Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Nayuki Holdings ranks #91 out of 357 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Nayuki Holdings in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Restaurants company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Nayuki Holdings and its competitors. Nayuki Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -3.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nayuki Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$1.57, compared to a current price of HK$0.74 — trading 52.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.15. Nayuki Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.15 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nayuki Holdings (HKSE:02150) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nayuki Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$0.74 is trading 52.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$1.57. GuruFocus considers Nayuki Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:02150:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.15
  • GF Value™: HK$1.57 vs. price of HK$0.74 (52.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:02150 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nayuki Holdings Business Description

Address Baoxing Road, 4-5th Floor, OCT REAL ONE, Bao’an District, Shenzhen, CHN
Nayuki Holdings Ltd is a premium modern teahouse chain in China serving freshly-made tea drinks. The company has segment namely Freshly-made tea drinks business and franchise operations and Ready-to-drink beverage business. The group principally generates its revenue from the sales of freshly-made tea drinks, baked goods, and other products through its operating teahouses and online food delivery applications mainly in the PRC.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:02150

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.74
Price
HK$1.57
GF Value