Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) Beneish M-Score: -3.05 (As of Jun. 28, 2026)


IST:AYEN Ayen Enerji AS IST:AYEN
49 GF Score
Price ₺38.68
GF Value ₺23.30
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 10 Warning Signs
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What is Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score?

Ayen Enerji AS IST:AYEN +6.73% 49 Beneish M-Score is -3.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:AYEN with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺23.30 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 390 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Ayen Enerji AS ranks better than 81.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.05 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:AYEN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.74   Med: -2.36   Max: 2.92
Current: -3.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ayen Enerji AS was 2.92. The lowest was -3.74. And the median was -2.36.


Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Ayen Enerji AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.68 2.92 -1.36 -3.07 -2.92

Ayen Enerji AS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.39 -2.56 -2.92 -3.05

Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:AYEN
49GF Score
Ayen Enerji AS IST:AYEN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ayen Enerji AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ayen Enerji AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7163+0.528 * 1.0819+0.404 * 1.1619+0.892 * 0.8064+0.115 * 1.401
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.4122+4.679 * -0.058629-0.327 * 0.844
=-3.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺841 Mil.
Revenue was 1882.598 + 2115.817 + 1974.231 + 1632.004 = ₺7,605 Mil.
Gross Profit was 804.949 + 514.319 + 41.663 + 417.838 = ₺1,779 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,738 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺27,914 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺19,999 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺902 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺391 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺2,238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺5,128 Mil.
Net Income was 94.827 + 174.576 + -193.086 + 170.071 = ₺246 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 611.552 + -3.82 + 864.879 + 410.308 = ₺1,883 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺1,456 Mil.
Revenue was 2324.981 + 2682.338 + 2211.76 + 2211.341 = ₺9,430 Mil.
Gross Profit was 659.582 + 824.023 + 400.184 + 502.59 = ₺2,386 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺2,192 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺22,461 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺15,991 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺1,029 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺2,074 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺4,948 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(840.901 / 7604.65) / (1455.798 / 9430.42)
=0.110577 / 0.154373
=0.7163

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2386.379 / 9430.42) / (1778.769 / 7604.65)
=0.253051 / 0.233905
=1.0819

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1737.598 + 19998.561) / 27913.531) / (1 - (2191.674 + 15990.977) / 22460.823)
=0.221304 / 0.190473
=1.1619

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=7604.65 / 9430.42
=0.8064

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1028.676 / (1028.676 + 15990.977)) / (901.655 / (901.655 + 19998.561))
=0.06044 / 0.043141
=1.401

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(390.647 / 7604.65) / (343.045 / 9430.42)
=0.051369 / 0.036376
=1.4122

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5127.515 + 2238.487) / 27913.531) / ((4948.432 + 2074.366) / 22460.823)
=0.263886 / 0.312669
=0.844

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(246.388 - 0 - 1882.919) / 27913.531
=-0.058629

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ayen Enerji AS has a M-score of -3.05 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.05 mean?
Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ayen Enerji AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ayen Enerji AS ranks #72 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 18.5%.
Is Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score too high?
Ayen Enerji AS's current Beneish M-Score is -3.05. Based on the distribution chart, Ayen Enerji AS ranks #72 out of 390 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Ayen Enerji AS has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ayen Enerji AS's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Ayen Enerji AS ranks #72 out of 390 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Ayen Enerji AS in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ayen Enerji AS and its competitors. Ayen Enerji AS's current Beneish M-Score is -3.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ayen Enerji AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺23.30, compared to a current price of ₺38.68 — trading 66% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.05. Ayen Enerji AS's overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.05 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ayen Enerji AS (IST:AYEN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ayen Enerji AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺38.68 is trading 66% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺23.30. GuruFocus considers Ayen Enerji AS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:AYEN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.05
  • GF Value™: ₺23.30 vs. price of ₺38.68 (66% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 10 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:AYEN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ayen Enerji AS Business Description

Address Hulya Sokak No: 37, Gaziosmanpasa, Ankara, TUR, 06700
Ayen Enerji AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution, and trading of electricity. The company's geographical segment includes Turkey and Abroad. It generates maximum revenue from Abroad. The company generates the majority of its energy from Hydro plants. The companies located in abroad operate in Albania, Serbia, and Slovenia.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:AYEN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺38.68
Price
₺23.30
GF Value