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Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS (IST:KCAER) Beneish M-Score : -0.62 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.62 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:KCAER' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.52   Med: -1.41   Max: -0.54
Current: -0.62

During the past 5 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS was -0.54. The lowest was -2.52. And the median was -1.41.


Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
- - - -0.54 -2.52

Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Quarterly Data
Dec19 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 -2.52 -2.14 -1.53 -0.62

Competitive Comparison of Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Steel subindustry, Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 3.012+0.528 * 0.6714+0.404 * 0.8946+0.892 * 0.4602+0.115 * 4.6321
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0865+4.679 * 0.05278-0.327 * 0.817
=-0.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺3,475 Mil.
Revenue was 4454.967 + 3720.444 + 3865.23 + -462.86 = ₺11,578 Mil.
Gross Profit was 782.706 + 668.203 + 702.217 + 458.714 = ₺2,612 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺9,809 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺18,538 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺8,286 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺283 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺699 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺8,625 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺167 Mil.
Net Income was -153.905 + 39.905 + 95.599 + 653.826 = ₺635 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -344.87 + -715.443 + 1029.567 + -312.26 = ₺-343 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺2,507 Mil.
Revenue was 4906.367 + 5040.209 + 4368.608 + 10841.069 = ₺25,156 Mil.
Gross Profit was 191.799 + 1526.691 + 552.069 + 1539.721 = ₺3,810 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺7,034 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺10,493 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺3,179 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺574 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺1,397 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺5,691 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺400 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3475.48 / 11577.781) / (2507.164 / 25156.253)
=0.300185 / 0.099664
=3.012

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3810.28 / 25156.253) / (2611.84 / 11577.781)
=0.151465 / 0.225591
=0.6714

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (9809.049 + 8286.411) / 18537.88) / (1 - (7034.342 + 3178.657) / 10492.929)
=0.023866 / 0.026678
=0.8946

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=11577.781 / 25156.253
=0.4602

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(574.212 / (574.212 + 3178.657)) / (283.064 / (283.064 + 8286.411))
=0.153006 / 0.033032
=4.6321

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(698.705 / 11577.781) / (1397.305 / 25156.253)
=0.060349 / 0.055545
=1.0865

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((166.587 + 8625.139) / 18537.88) / ((400.323 + 5690.59) / 10492.929)
=0.474257 / 0.580478
=0.817

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(635.425 - 0 - -343.006) / 18537.88
=0.05278

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS has a M-score of -0.62 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Business Description

Comparable Companies
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Yeni Foca Yolu 3. km, Aliaga, Izmir, TUR
Kocaer Celik Sanayi ve Ticaret AS manufactures steed products. The company offers steel bars, angles, beams, rods, channels, profiles, and clamps.

Kocaer Celiknayi ve Ticaret AS Headlines

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