NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS (IST:NTGAZ) Beneish M-Score: -1.87 (As of Jul. 05, 2026)


IST:NTGAZ NATURELGAZ SANAYI VE TICARET AS IST:NTGAZ
81 GF Score
Price ₺11.34
GF Value ₺8.30
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Beneish M-Score?

NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS IST:NTGAZ +0.18% 81 Beneish M-Score is -1.87 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus rates IST:NTGAZ with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of ₺8.30 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 824 Oil & Gas companies, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS ranks worse than 84.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

IST:NTGAZ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.53   Med: -2.49   Max: 5.55
Current: -1.87

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS was 5.55. The lowest was -3.53. And the median was -2.49.


NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Beneish M-Score Chart

NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.98 5.55 -3.53 -2.75 -2.01

NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -3.22 -2.82 -2.01 -1.87

IST:NTGAZ vs WMB, EPD, KMI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


IST:NTGAZ
81GF Score
NATURELGAZ SANAYI VE TICARET AS IST:NTGAZ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2478+0.528 * 0.9621+0.404 * 2.6339+0.892 * 1.0325+0.115 * 1.4917
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.7322+4.679 * -0.08644-0.327 * 0.9671
=-1.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₺1,203 Mil.
Revenue was 3054.821 + 2636.658 + 1370.319 + 1331.267 = ₺8,393 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1127.218 + 752.173 + 312.52 + 258.47 = ₺2,450 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺2,419 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺8,422 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺5,926 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺498 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺171 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺1,231 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺361 Mil.
Net Income was 558.211 + 367.215 + 70.81 + 56.385 = ₺1,053 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₺0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 881.299 + 531.178 + 174.987 + 193.19 = ₺1,781 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₺934 Mil.
Revenue was 2877.594 + 2613.195 + 1496.305 + 1141.504 = ₺8,129 Mil.
Gross Profit was 949.593 + 803.236 + 305.695 + 224.768 = ₺2,283 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₺1,729 Mil.
Total Assets was ₺5,700 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₺3,952 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₺517 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₺226 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₺930 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₺184 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1202.708 / 8393.065) / (933.501 / 8128.598)
=0.143298 / 0.114842
=1.2478

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2283.292 / 8128.598) / (2450.381 / 8393.065)
=0.280896 / 0.291953
=0.9621

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2419.255 + 5925.914) / 8422.434) / (1 - (1728.75 + 3951.624) / 5700.228)
=0.009174 / 0.003483
=2.6339

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=8393.065 / 8128.598
=1.0325

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(516.876 / (516.876 + 3951.624)) / (498.146 / (498.146 + 5925.914))
=0.115671 / 0.077544
=1.4917

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(170.744 / 8393.065) / (225.844 / 8128.598)
=0.020343 / 0.027784
=0.7322

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((361.131 + 1231.286) / 8422.434) / ((183.941 + 930.4) / 5700.228)
=0.189069 / 0.195491
=0.9671

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1052.621 - 0 - 1780.654) / 8422.434
=-0.08644

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS has a M-score of -1.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.87 mean?
NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS (IST:NTGAZ) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.87 as of Jul. 05, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS ranks #698 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 84.7%.
Is NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score too high?
NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's current Beneish M-Score is -1.87. Based on the distribution chart, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS ranks #698 out of 824 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's Beneish M-Score compare to WMB and EPD?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS ranks #698 out of 824 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS and its competitors. NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's current Beneish M-Score is -1.87. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS (IST:NTGAZ) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₺8.30, compared to a current price of ₺11.34 — trading 36.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.87. NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS (IST:NTGAZ), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.87 as of Jul. 05, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS (IST:NTGAZ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₺11.34 is trading 36.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₺8.30. GuruFocus considers NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IST:NTGAZ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.87
  • GF Value™: ₺8.30 vs. price of ₺11.34 (36.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the IST:NTGAZ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NATURELGAZNAYI VE TICARET AS Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Ali Kaya Street, Esentepe Neighborhood, Polat Plaza B Block No: 1/1, Interior Door No: 86, Istanbul, TUR, 34394
NATURELGAZ SANAYI VE TICARET AS activities of transmitting natural gas via CNG transport units to consumers who need natural gas but do not have access to pipelines, such as industrial establishments, factories, asphalt construction sites, hotels, and institutions requiring heating.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IST:NTGAZ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₺11.34
Price
₺8.30
GF Value