PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk (ISX:HMSP) Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


ISX:HMSP PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk ISX:HMSP
90 GF Score
Price Rp650.00
GF Value Rp733.48
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk ISX:HMSP -1.52% 90 Beneish M-Score is -3.16 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:HMSP with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp733.48 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 45 Tobacco Products companies, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk ranks better than 73.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.16 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:HMSP' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.58   Med: -2.54   Max: 1.3
Current: -3.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk was 1.30. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -2.54.


PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.29 1.11 -2.39 -2.50 -2.93

PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.33 -2.38 -2.93 -3.16

ISX:HMSP vs PM, MO, TPB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:HMSP
90GF Score
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk ISX:HMSP
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7953+0.528 * 0.8587+0.404 * 1.041+0.892 * 0.9407+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0582+4.679 * -0.082121-0.327 * 0.9666
=-3.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp4,995,068 Mil.
Revenue was 27204127 + 28429071 + 28569583 + 26384456 = Rp110,587,237 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5000180 + 5206838 + 5763423 + 4624835 = Rp20,595,276 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp36,905,324 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp51,905,315 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp8,640,399 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp10,928,901 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp18,858,028 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp210,861 Mil.
Net Income was 2056169 + 2098335 + 2382728 + 210132 = Rp6,747,364 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 496066 + 2922363 + 3424234 + 4167241 = Rp11,009,904 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp6,677,059 Mil.
Revenue was 28788883 + 29411936 + 30651101 + 28709817 = Rp117,561,737 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5022412 + 4774383 + 5070632 + 3933152 = Rp18,800,579 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp36,577,613 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp52,184,970 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp9,465,036 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp10,979,289 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp19,556,096 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp278,108 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(4995068 / 110587237) / (6677059 / 117561737)
=0.045169 / 0.056796
=0.7953

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18800579 / 117561737) / (20595276 / 110587237)
=0.159921 / 0.186236
=0.8587

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (36905324 + 8640399) / 51905315) / (1 - (36577613 + 9465036) / 52184970)
=0.122523 / 0.117703
=1.041

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=110587237 / 117561737
=0.9407

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 9465036)) / (0 / (0 + 8640399))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10928901 / 110587237) / (10979289 / 117561737)
=0.098826 / 0.093392
=1.0582

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((210861 + 18858028) / 51905315) / ((278108 + 19556096) / 52184970)
=0.367378 / 0.380075
=0.9666

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6747364 - 0 - 11009904) / 51905315
=-0.082121

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk has a M-score of -3.16 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.16 mean?
PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk (ISX:HMSP) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.16 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk ranks #12 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 26.7%.
Is PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. Based on the distribution chart, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk ranks #12 out of 45 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to PM and MO?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk ranks #12 out of 45 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Tobacco Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Tobacco Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk and its competitors. PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk (ISX:HMSP) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp733.48, compared to a current price of Rp650.00 — trading 11.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.16. PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk (ISX:HMSP), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.16 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk (ISX:HMSP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp650.00 is trading 11.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp733.48. GuruFocus considers PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:HMSP:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.16
  • GF Value™: Rp733.48 vs. price of Rp650.00 (11.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:HMSP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Hanjaya Mandalampoerna Tbk Business Description

Other Exchanges PHJMF:USAHSZ:Germany
Address Jalan Rungkut Industri Raya No. 18, Surabaya, IDN, 60293
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk is an Indonesian tobacco company. The company produces a number of brands of cigarettes and is well known, such as Sampoerna A, Sampoerna Kretek, Malboro, Magnum, Dji Sam Soe, and others. The scope of activities of the company comprises, among others manufacturing, trading, and distributing cigarettes. The company's flagship brand is Dji Sam Soe Kretek.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:HMSP

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp650.00
Price
Rp733.48
GF Value