PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (ISX:INCO) Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (As of Aug. 04, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ISX:INCO PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ISX:INCO
87 GF Score
Price Rp5,500.00
GF Value Rp4,848.97
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ISX:INCO +5.77% 87 Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:INCO with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp4,848.97 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 677 Metals & Mining companies, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ranks better than 76.22% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.85 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:INCO' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -45.87   Med: -2.67   Max: 0.45
Current: -2.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Vale Indonesia Tbk was 0.45. The lowest was -45.87. And the median was -2.67.


PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.32 -2.85 -2.40 -2.67

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.14 -2.78 -2.67 -2.67 -2.85

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:INCO
87GF Score
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ISX:INCO
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Vale Indonesia Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6173+0.528 * 0.4012+0.404 * 1.2681+0.892 * 1.3085+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.6436+4.679 * -0.006282-0.327 * 1.3509
=-2.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp1,318,322 Mil.
Revenue was 5203215.761 + 4277421.321 + 4758289.658 + 4600006.603 = Rp18,838,933 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1711943.181 + 960537.676 + 624295.168 + 715233.756 = Rp4,012,010 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp10,514,167 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp60,619,788 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp43,855,599 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp242,460 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp6,637,551 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp323 Mil.
Net Income was 1088732.652 + 738322.978 + 394555.482 + 449006.207 = Rp2,670,617 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1002909.737 + -297533.393 + 771885.917 + 1574138.273 = Rp3,051,401 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp1,632,219 Mil.
Revenue was 3591501.632 + 3401200.899 + 3877781.413 + 3526568.417 = Rp14,397,052 Mil.
Gross Profit was 173627.137 + 321353.992 + 449932.97 + 285157.041 = Rp1,230,071 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp14,218,980 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp51,700,815 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp33,278,268 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp287,907 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp4,183,132 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp7,519 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1318322.386 / 18838933.343) / (1632219.038 / 14397052.361)
=0.069979 / 0.113372
=0.6173

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1230071.14 / 14397052.361) / (4012009.781 / 18838933.343)
=0.085439 / 0.212964
=0.4012

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10514167.052 + 43855598.915) / 60619788.363) / (1 - (14218979.602 + 33278268.23) / 51700815.294)
=0.103102 / 0.081306
=1.2681

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18838933.343 / 14397052.361
=1.3085

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 33278268.23)) / (0 / (0 + 43855598.915))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(242460.169 / 18838933.343) / (287906.614 / 14397052.361)
=0.01287 / 0.019998
=0.6436

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((322.508 + 6637551.377) / 60619788.363) / ((7518.515 + 4183132.106) / 51700815.294)
=0.1095 / 0.081056
=1.3509

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2670617.319 - 0 - 3051400.534) / 60619788.363
=-0.006282

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk has a M-score of -2.85 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 mean?
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (ISX:INCO) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.85 as of Aug. 04, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Vale Indonesia Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ranks #161 out of 677 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, placing it in the top 23.8%.
Is PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. Based on the distribution chart, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ranks #161 out of 677 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk ranks #161 out of 677 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Vale Indonesia Tbk in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Vale Indonesia Tbk and its competitors. PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Vale Indonesia Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (ISX:INCO) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp4,848.97, compared to a current price of Rp5,500.00 — trading 13.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.85. PT Vale Indonesia Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (ISX:INCO), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.85 as of Aug. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (ISX:INCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Vale Indonesia Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Rp5,500.00 is trading 13.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of Rp4,848.97. GuruFocus considers PT Vale Indonesia Tbk to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:INCO:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.85
  • GF Value™: Rp4,848.97 vs. price of Rp5,500.00 (13.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:INCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Business Description

Other Exchanges PTNDF:USAXT3B:Germany
Address Jalan Jenderal Sudirman Kav. 71, Sequis Tower, Lantai 20, Unit 6 and 7, Jakarta, IDN, 12190
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk is an integrated nickel mining and processing company, with its primary operations located in the Sorowako Block, South Sulawesi Province. Utilizing pyrometallurgical and smelting technologies, the company processes laterite nickel ore into nickel matte. It is currently advancing its Indonesia Growth Project (IGP), which includes High-Pressure Acid Leach (HPAL) facilities in Pomalaa, Morowali, and Sorowako Limonite. The company operates in only one business and geographical segment: nickel mining and processing in Indonesia.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:INCO

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp5,500.00
Price
Rp4,848.97
GF Value