PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) Beneish M-Score: -1.51 (As of Jun. 30, 2026)


ISX:JAYA PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ISX:JAYA
75 GF Score
Price Rp117.00
GF Value Rp108.65
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ISX:JAYA +0.85% 75 Beneish M-Score is -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:JAYA with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp108.65 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 960 Transportation companies, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ranks worse than 87.5% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.51 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:JAYA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.94   Med: -2.71   Max: -1.09
Current: -1.51

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk was -1.09. The lowest was -3.94. And the median was -2.71.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial -1.84 -1.17 -3.33 -3.37 -2.84

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.94 -3.86 -3.33 -2.84 -1.51

ISX:JAYA vs ODFL, XPO, KNX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:JAYA
75GF Score
PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ISX:JAYA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.5439+0.528 * 0.7478+0.404 * 0.662+0.892 * 0.9437+0.115 * 2.0898
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3443+4.679 * -0.007155-0.327 * 1.4839
=-1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp20,999 Mil.
Revenue was 26881.029 + 20528.623 + 20478.521 + 16472.143 = Rp84,360 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13656.101 + 11219.17 + 8481.279 + 6942.505 = Rp40,299 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp69,843 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp414,093 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp283,206 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp8,112 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp7,826 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp235,736 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp50,853 Mil.
Net Income was 2262.449 + 911.272 + 1498.153 + 1852.029 = Rp6,524 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2729.433 + 13271.685 + -16341.575 + 9827.301 = Rp9,487 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp8,747 Mil.
Revenue was 16426.193 + 23887.154 + 24139.48 + 24940.418 = Rp89,393 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6644.373 + 7474.742 + 9209.166 + 8603.296 = Rp31,932 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp61,579 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp233,839 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp120,188 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp7,426 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp6,169 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp78,854 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp30,205 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(20999.322 / 84360.316) / (8747.209 / 89393.245)
=0.248924 / 0.097851
=2.5439

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(31931.577 / 89393.245) / (40299.055 / 84360.316)
=0.357203 / 0.477702
=0.7478

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (69843 + 283205.556) / 414093.472) / (1 - (61578.765 + 120188.299) / 233838.885)
=0.147418 / 0.222682
=0.662

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=84360.316 / 89393.245
=0.9437

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(7425.752 / (7425.752 + 120188.299)) / (8111.537 / (8111.537 + 283205.556))
=0.058189 / 0.027844
=2.0898

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7825.736 / 84360.316) / (6168.616 / 89393.245)
=0.092766 / 0.069005
=1.3443

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((50852.678 + 235736.153) / 414093.472) / ((30205.088 + 78854.464) / 233838.885)
=0.692087 / 0.466388
=1.4839

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6523.903 - 0 - 9486.844) / 414093.472
=-0.007155

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk has a M-score of -1.51 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.51 mean?
PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ranks #840 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 87.5%.
Is PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. Based on the distribution chart, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ranks #840 out of 960 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to ODFL and XPO?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk ranks #840 out of 960 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk and its competitors. PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp108.65, compared to a current price of Rp117.00 — trading 7.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.51. PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.51 as of Jun. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Rp117.00 is trading 7.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of Rp108.65. GuruFocus considers PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:JAYA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.51
  • GF Value™: Rp108.65 vs. price of Rp117.00 (7.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:JAYA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Green Sedayu GS 7 No. 19, Green Sedayu Bizpark Cakung, Cakung Timur, Jakarta, IDN, 14310
PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk is a general land transport and logistics company. The company's services include land transportation, customs clearance, and multimodal transport. Its geographical segments are Java Barat, Banten, DKI Jakarta, Bali, Bengkulu, and East Java. It derives maximum revenue from DKI Jakarta.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:JAYA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp117.00
Price
Rp108.65
GF Value