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PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) Beneish M-Score : -2.67 (As of Jun. 21, 2024)


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What is PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.67 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:JAYA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.77   Med: -2.17   Max: -1.09
Current: -2.67

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk was -1.09. The lowest was -3.77. And the median was -2.17.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -2.70 -1.84 -1.17 -3.47

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.12 -2.86 -3.77 -3.47 -2.67

Competitive Comparison of PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score

For the Trucking subindustry, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.



PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2069+0.528 * 0.9746+0.404 * 1.3681+0.892 * 1.1769+0.115 * 0.8624
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9294+4.679 * -0.119821-0.327 * 1.3295
=-2.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp22,377 Mil.
Revenue was 27742.506 + 21931.313 + 24289.511 + 19662.545 = Rp93,626 Mil.
Gross Profit was 8728.403 + 4082.434 + 9745.09 + 6737.075 = Rp29,293 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp58,000 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp180,308 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp82,136 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp6,440 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp4,657 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp44,055 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp11,148 Mil.
Net Income was 2885.78 + -1496.76 + 4356.057 + 1813.188 = Rp7,558 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 681.538 + 3225.096 + 20648.069 + 4608.182 = Rp29,163 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp15,755 Mil.
Revenue was 18922.467 + 20290.611 + 20789.702 + 19551.462 = Rp79,554 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7005.293 + 5143.272 + 5590.325 + 6518.492 = Rp24,257 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp66,653 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp160,426 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp67,646 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp4,525 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp4,258 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp35,536 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp1,408 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(22376.917 / 93625.875) / (15754.544 / 79554.242)
=0.239004 / 0.198035
=1.2069

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(24257.382 / 79554.242) / (29293.002 / 93625.875)
=0.304916 / 0.312873
=0.9746

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (57999.979 + 82135.642) / 180308.149) / (1 - (66652.951 + 67646.465) / 160426.152)
=0.222799 / 0.162858
=1.3681

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=93625.875 / 79554.242
=1.1769

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4525.458 / (4525.458 + 67646.465)) / (6440.25 / (6440.25 + 82135.642))
=0.062704 / 0.072709
=0.8624

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(4657.069 / 93625.875) / (4257.517 / 79554.242)
=0.049741 / 0.053517
=0.9294

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((11148.173 + 44054.872) / 180308.149) / ((1408.218 + 35535.723) / 160426.152)
=0.306159 / 0.230286
=1.3295

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7558.265 - 0 - 29162.885) / 180308.149
=-0.119821

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk has a M-score of -2.67 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk (ISX:JAYA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Green Sedayu Bizpark, Cakung Gs 7 Number 19, Cakung Timur, East Jakarta, IDN, 14310
PT Armada berjaya trans Tbk is a general land transport and logistic company. The company's services include land transportation, custom clearance, and multimoda transport. Its geographical segments are West Java, Banten, DKI Jakarta Banton , Bali and Central Java.

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