PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk (ISX:ULTJ) Beneish M-Score: -2.90 (As of Aug. 12, 2026)

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ISX:ULTJ PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ISX:ULTJ
95 GF Score
Price Rp1,495.00
GF Value Rp1,914.50
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Beneish M-Score?

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ISX:ULTJ 95 Beneish M-Score is -2.90 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:ULTJ with a GF Score™ of 95/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp1,914.50 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 111 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ranks better than 81.08% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.9 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:ULTJ' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.32   Med: -2.37   Max: -1.36
Current: -2.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk was -1.36. The lowest was -4.32. And the median was -2.37.


PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Beneish M-Score Chart

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -1.74 -2.12 -2.37 -2.75

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.11 -2.37 -2.75 -3.32 -2.90

ISX:ULTJ vs KO, PEP, MNST: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score falls into.


ISX:ULTJ
95GF Score
PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ISX:ULTJ
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9892+0.528 * 1.0191+0.404 * 0.4645+0.892 * 1.1961+0.115 * 0.5391
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5558+4.679 * -0.033103-0.327 * 1.7625
=-2.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was Rp808,209 Mil.
Revenue was 2710853 + 2783041 + 2530172 + 2155991 = Rp10,180,057 Mil.
Gross Profit was 947360 + 950004 + 812493 + 687032 = Rp3,396,889 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp5,013,677 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp9,066,914 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp3,395,580 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp68,233 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp868,832 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp902,335 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp26,063 Mil.
Net Income was 553384 + 495596 + 392415 + 357069 = Rp1,798,464 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = Rp0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 180558 + 607544 + 723926 + 586581 = Rp2,098,609 Mil.
Total Receivables was Rp683,097 Mil.
Revenue was 1797533 + 2284158 + 2291287 + 2138085 = Rp8,511,063 Mil.
Gross Profit was 577116 + 792670 + 797359 + 727177 = Rp2,894,322 Mil.
Total Current Assets was Rp4,335,410 Mil.
Total Assets was Rp8,157,660 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was Rp2,548,422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was Rp27,352 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was Rp1,306,872 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was Rp452,091 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was Rp21,834 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(808209 / 10180057) / (683097 / 8511063)
=0.079391 / 0.08026
=0.9892

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2894322 / 8511063) / (3396889 / 10180057)
=0.340066 / 0.333681
=1.0191

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5013677 + 3395580) / 9066914) / (1 - (4335410 + 2548422) / 8157660)
=0.072534 / 0.156151
=0.4645

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=10180057 / 8511063
=1.1961

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(27352 / (27352 + 2548422)) / (68233 / (68233 + 3395580))
=0.010619 / 0.019699
=0.5391

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(868832 / 10180057) / (1306872 / 8511063)
=0.085346 / 0.15355
=0.5558

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((26063 + 902335) / 9066914) / ((21834 + 452091) / 8157660)
=0.102394 / 0.058096
=1.7625

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1798464 - 0 - 2098609) / 9066914
=-0.033103

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk has a M-score of -2.90 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.90 mean?
PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk (ISX:ULTJ) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.90 as of Aug. 12, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ranks #21 out of 111 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 18.9%.
Is PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score too high?
PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.90. Based on the distribution chart, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ranks #21 out of 111 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk has a GF Score™ of 95/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's Beneish M-Score compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk ranks #21 out of 111 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk and its competitors. PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's current Beneish M-Score is -2.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk (ISX:ULTJ) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp1,914.50, compared to a current price of Rp1,495.00 — trading 21.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.90. PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 95/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk (ISX:ULTJ), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.90 as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk (ISX:ULTJ) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp1,495.00 is trading 21.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp1,914.50. GuruFocus considers PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:ULTJ:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.90
  • GF Value™: Rp1,914.50 vs. price of Rp1,495.00 (21.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 95/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:ULTJ stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Raya Cimareme 131, Padalarang, Kabupaten Bandung Barat, West Java, Bandung, IDN, 40552
PT Ultrajaya Milk Industry & Trading Co Tbk is in the business of producing dairy products, beverages, and healthy drink products with ultra-high temperature technology and aseptic packaging. Its products are Freshmilk, Tea drink, Health drinks, Sweetened condensed creamer, and others. The company operates in two operating segments: Beverages and Food. It derives the majority of its revenues from the Beverages segment.
95GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:ULTJ

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp1,495.00
Price
Rp1,914.50
GF Value