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Jakks PacificJAKK -2.46%65 Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus rates JAKK with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $17.04 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 819 Travel & Leisure companies, Jakks Pacific ranks better than 68.38% on this metric.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
JAKK'
s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.51 Med: -2.75 Max: -1.48
Current: -2.83
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Jakks Pacific was -1.48. The lowest was -3.51. And the median was -2.75.
Jakks Pacific Beneish M-Score Related Terms
Jakks Pacific Beneish M-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
JAKK vs ESCA, XPOF, FNKO: Beneish M-Score Comparison
For the Leisure subindustry, Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Jakks Pacific Beneish M-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Jakks Pacific for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M
=
-4.84
+
0.92 * DSRI
+
0.528 * GMI
+
0.404 * AQI
+
0.892 * SGI
+
0.115 * DEPI
=
-4.84
+
0.92 * 1.1559
+
0.528 * 1.0042
+
0.404 * 1.0051
+
0.892 * 0.7898
+
0.115 * 0.881
-
0.172 * SGAI
+
4.679 * TATA
-
0.327 * LVGI
-
0.172 * 1.2324
+
4.679 * -0.060021
-
0.327 * 0.9343
=
-2.83
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI
=
(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))
/
(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=
(10.091 / (10.091 + 70.622))
/
(10.796 / (10.796 + 65.283))
=
0.125023
/
0.141905
=
0.881
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA
=
(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t
-
CashFlowsfromOperations_t)
/
TotalAssets_t
=
(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t
-
CashFlowsfromOperations_t)
/
TotalAssets_t
=
(7.973 - 0.021
-
31.987)
/
400.446
=
-0.060021
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Jakks Pacific has a M-score of -2.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Jakks Pacific (JAKK) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.83 as of Jul. 18, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Jakks Pacific and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Jakks Pacific ranks #259 out of 819 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 31.6%.
Is Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score too high?
Jakks Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Based on the distribution chart, Jakks Pacific ranks #259 out of 819 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Jakks Pacific has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jakks Pacific's Beneish M-Score compare to ESCA and XPOF?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Jakks Pacific ranks #259 out of 819 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Jakks Pacific in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Jakks Pacific and its competitors. Jakks Pacific's current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jakks Pacific stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jakks Pacific (JAKK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $17.04, compared to a current price of $24.23 — trading 42.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.83. Jakks Pacific's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jakks Pacific (JAKK), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.83 as of Jul. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Jakks Pacific (JAKK) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jakks Pacific stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $24.23 is trading 42.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $17.04.
GuruFocus considers Jakks Pacific to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for JAKK:
Beneish M-Score: -2.83
GF Value™: $17.04 vs. price of $24.23 (42.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JAKK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Jakks Pacific Inc is a multi-product line, multi-brand toy company that designs, produces, markets, sells, and distributes toys and related kid-targeted consumer products, including kids' indoor and outdoor furniture, costumes, and various product lines in the sporting goods and home furnishings space. Its product offerings include Traditional toys and electronics such as Action figures, Toy vehicles, Dolls and accessories, Ride-on toys, Toys for pets, and others. The company's products have been divided into two segments: Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Toys/Consumer Products segment.
65GF Score
Get the complete analysis for JAKK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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