Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) Beneish M-Score: -2.39 (As of Jul. 02, 2026)


JSE:BCF Bowler Metcalf Ltd JSE:BCF
82 GF Score
Price R13.99
GF Value R14.77
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Bowler Metcalf Beneish M-Score?

Bowler Metcalf JSE:BCF 82 Beneish M-Score is -2.39 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:BCF with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of R14.77 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 370 Packaging & Containers companies, Bowler Metcalf ranks worse than 65.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:BCF' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: -2.42   Max: 0.71
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Bowler Metcalf was 0.71. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was -2.42.


Bowler Metcalf Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bowler Metcalf Beneish M-Score Chart

Bowler Metcalf Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.71 -1.36 -2.56 -2.45 -2.39

Bowler Metcalf Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.45 0.00 -2.39 0.00

JSE:BCF vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bowler Metcalf Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:BCF
82GF Score
Bowler Metcalf Ltd JSE:BCF
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bowler Metcalf Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Bowler Metcalf for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9325+0.528 * 0.9931+0.404 * 1.2662+0.892 * 1.0987+0.115 * 1.0663
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.004073-0.327 * 1.1938
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R155.1 Mil.
Revenue was R945.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was R271.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R539.1 Mil.
Total Assets was R1,030.6 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R408.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R26.7 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R100.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R3.2 Mil.
Net Income was R121.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R117.7 Mil.
Total Receivables was R151.4 Mil.
Revenue was R860.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was R245.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R514.3 Mil.
Total Assets was R917.9 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R345.3 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R24.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0.0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R77.0 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(155.069 / 945.851) / (151.367 / 860.914)
=0.163947 / 0.175821
=0.9325

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(245.461 / 860.914) / (271.554 / 945.851)
=0.285117 / 0.2871
=0.9931

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (539.129 + 408.456) / 1030.632) / (1 - (514.258 + 345.266) / 917.939)
=0.080579 / 0.063637
=1.2662

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=945.851 / 860.914
=1.0987

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(24.194 / (24.194 + 345.266)) / (26.727 / (26.727 + 408.456))
=0.065485 / 0.061416
=1.0663

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 945.851) / (0 / 860.914)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3.163 + 100.041) / 1030.632) / ((0 + 76.998) / 917.939)
=0.100137 / 0.083881
=1.1938

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(121.916 - 0 - 117.718) / 1030.632
=0.004073

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Bowler Metcalf has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.39 mean?
Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.39 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bowler Metcalf and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #241 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 65.1%.
Is Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score too high?
Bowler Metcalf's current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. Based on the distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #241 out of 370 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Bowler Metcalf has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bowler Metcalf's Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #241 out of 370 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Bowler Metcalf in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Bowler Metcalf and its competitors. Bowler Metcalf's current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bowler Metcalf stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R14.77, compared to a current price of R13.99 — trading 5.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.39. Bowler Metcalf's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.39 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bowler Metcalf stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R13.99 is trading 5.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of R14.77. GuruFocus considers Bowler Metcalf to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:BCF:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.39
  • GF Value™: R14.77 vs. price of R13.99 (5.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:BCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bowler Metcalf Business Description

Address 15 Harris Drive, Ottery, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7800
Bowler Metcalf Ltd is mainly engaged in the business of containers and packaging. The company's operating segments include Plastic Packaging and Property Investment. It generates maximum revenue from the Plastic Packaging segment, which specializes in the manufacture of rigid plastic packaging for the toiletry, cosmetic, household, pharmaceutical, and food markets. Its mode of manufacture comprises injection and blow molding, extrusion, and injection stretch blow molding. The Property Investment segment is involved in the business of investing in properties for letting to the manufacturing industry.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:BCF

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R13.99
Price
R14.77
GF Value