Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) Altman Z-Score: 6.91 (As of Jul. 02, 2026) — Near Median


JSE:BCF Bowler Metcalf Ltd JSE:BCF
82 GF Score
Price R13.99
GF Value R14.77
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score?

Bowler Metcalf JSE:BCF 82 Altman Z-Score is 6.91 as of Jul. 02, 2026, which is 2% below its 10-year median of 7.06. GuruFocus rates JSE:BCF with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of R14.77 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 387 Packaging & Containers companies, Bowler Metcalf ranks better than 88.89% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 6.91 is strong.

Bowler Metcalf has a Altman Z-Score of 6.91, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:BCF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.19   Med: 7.06   Max: 7.6
Current: 6.91

During the past 13 years, Bowler Metcalf's highest Altman Z-Score was 7.60. The lowest was 6.19. And the median was 7.06.


Bowler Metcalf  (JSE:BCF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score Chart

Bowler Metcalf Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.39 7.10 6.63 7.22 6.60

Bowler Metcalf Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 7.22 0.00 6.60 0.00

JSE:BCF vs SW, PKG, IP: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score falls into.


JSE:BCF
82GF Score
Bowler Metcalf Ltd JSE:BCF
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bowler Metcalf Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.426+1.4*0.8834+3.3*0.1595+0.6*6.1911+1.0*0.9177
=6.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2025:
Total Assets was R1,030.6 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R539.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R100.0 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R910.5 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R164.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-0.4 Mil.
Revenue was R945.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R958.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R154.8 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(539.129 - 100.041)/1030.632
=0.426

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=910.474/1030.632
=0.8834

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(163.97 - -0.405)/1030.632
=0.1595

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=958.593/154.835
=6.1911

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=945.851/1030.632
=0.9177

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Bowler Metcalf has a Altman Z-Score of 6.91 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 6.91 mean?
Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) has a Altman Z-Score of 6.91 as of Jul. 02, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Bowler Metcalf and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 7.06. Over the past decade, Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 6.19 to 7.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #43 out of 387 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 11.1%.
Is Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score too high?
Bowler Metcalf's current Altman Z-Score of 6.91 is near median its 10-year median of 7.06. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 6.19 to a high of 7.60. The Packaging & Containers industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.66. Bowler Metcalf's value of 6.91 is 159.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #43 out of 387 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Bowler Metcalf has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bowler Metcalf's Altman Z-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Bowler Metcalf ranks #43 out of 387 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Bowler Metcalf in the top 11% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.66. Bowler Metcalf's value of 6.91 is 159.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Bowler Metcalf's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 6.19 to 7.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 7.06 vs. the industry median of 2.66, Bowler Metcalf has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Packaging & Containers companies is 2.66, based on 387 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Bowler Metcalf's current Altman Z-Score of 6.91 is 159.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Bowler Metcalf and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.66 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bowler Metcalf's current Altman Z-Score is 6.91, which is near median its own 10-year median of 7.06. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bowler Metcalf stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is R14.77, compared to a current price of R13.99 — trading 5.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 6.91, which is near median its 10-year median of 7.06 and 159.8% above the Packaging & Containers industry median of 2.66. Bowler Metcalf's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF), the current Altman Z-Score is 6.91 as of Jul. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bowler Metcalf (JSE:BCF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bowler Metcalf stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R13.99 is trading 5.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of R14.77. GuruFocus considers Bowler Metcalf to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:BCF:

  • Altman Z-Score: 6.91 (near median its 10-year median of 7.06)
  • GF Value™: R14.77 vs. price of R13.99 (5.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 159.8% above the Packaging & Containers median (#43 of 387)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:BCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bowler Metcalf Business Description

Address 15 Harris Drive, Ottery, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7800
Bowler Metcalf Ltd is mainly engaged in the business of containers and packaging. The company's operating segments include Plastic Packaging and Property Investment. It generates maximum revenue from the Plastic Packaging segment, which specializes in the manufacture of rigid plastic packaging for the toiletry, cosmetic, household, pharmaceutical, and food markets. Its mode of manufacture comprises injection and blow molding, extrusion, and injection stretch blow molding. The Property Investment segment is involved in the business of investing in properties for letting to the manufacturing industry.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:BCF

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R13.99
Price
R14.77
GF Value