Balwin Properties (JSE:BWN) Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:BWN Balwin Properties Ltd JSE:BWN
49 GF Score
Price R4.20
GF Value R2.32
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score?

Balwin Properties JSE:BWN 49 Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:BWN with a GF Score™ of 49/100 and a GF Value™ of R2.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,682 Real Estate companies, Balwin Properties ranks worse than 59.33% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Balwin Properties's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:BWN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.69   Med: -1.78   Max: 0.05
Current: -2.22

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Balwin Properties was 0.05. The lowest was -2.69. And the median was -1.78.


Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Balwin Properties's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score Chart

Balwin Properties Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.78 -2.03 -1.58 -2.09 -2.22

Balwin Properties Semi-Annual Data
Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24 Feb25 Aug25 Feb26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.58 0.00 -2.09 0.00 -2.22

Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Balwin Properties's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Balwin Properties's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Balwin Properties's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:BWN
49GF Score
Balwin Properties Ltd JSE:BWN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Balwin Properties Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Balwin Properties for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7551+0.528 * 1.101+0.404 * 1.4576+0.892 * 1.2127+0.115 * 1.1869
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * 0.005519-0.327 * 0.9598
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Feb26) TTM:Last Year (Feb25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R311 Mil.
Revenue was R2,693 Mil.
Gross Profit was R740 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R7,440 Mil.
Total Assets was R8,438 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R452 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R35 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R2,437 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R1,038 Mil.
Net Income was R245 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R199 Mil.
Total Receivables was R340 Mil.
Revenue was R2,221 Mil.
Gross Profit was R672 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R7,304 Mil.
Total Assets was R8,084 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R40 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R2,531 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R939 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(311.159 / 2693.24) / (339.792 / 2220.918)
=0.115533 / 0.152996
=0.7551

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(672.165 / 2220.918) / (740.357 / 2693.24)
=0.302652 / 0.274895
=1.101

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7440.246 + 452.035) / 8437.589) / (1 - (7304.432 + 421.579) / 8084.458)
=0.064628 / 0.044338
=1.4576

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2693.24 / 2220.918
=1.2127

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(39.698 / (39.698 + 421.579)) / (35.338 / (35.338 + 452.035))
=0.086061 / 0.072507
=1.1869

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2693.24) / (0 / 2220.918)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1038.402 + 2437.255) / 8437.589) / ((938.535 + 2531.154) / 8084.458)
=0.411925 / 0.42918
=0.9598

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(245.31 - 0 - 198.747) / 8437.589
=0.005519

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Balwin Properties has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 mean?
Balwin Properties (JSE:BWN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Balwin Properties and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Balwin Properties ranks #998 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 59.3%.
Is Balwin Properties' Beneish M-Score too high?
Balwin Properties' current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Based on the distribution chart, Balwin Properties ranks #998 out of 1682 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Balwin Properties has a GF Score™ of 49/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Balwin Properties' Beneish M-Score compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Balwin Properties ranks #998 out of 1682 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Balwin Properties in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Real Estate company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Balwin Properties and its competitors. Balwin Properties's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Balwin Properties stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Balwin Properties (JSE:BWN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R2.32, compared to a current price of R4.20 — trading 81% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Balwin Properties' overall GF Score™ is 49/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Balwin Properties (JSE:BWN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Balwin Properties (JSE:BWN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Balwin Properties stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R4.20 is trading 81% above its estimated GF Value™ of R2.32. GuruFocus considers Balwin Properties to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:BWN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.22
  • GF Value™: R2.32 vs. price of R4.20 (81% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 49/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:BWN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Balwin Properties Business Description

Address 105 Corlett Drive, Melrose, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Balwin Properties Ltd is engaged in residential property development and sale of sectional title estates, bond origination, information and communication technology services, rental of commercial property and other annuity based services provided to the residential developments. Its operating segments include Sale of apartments and land; Provision of services to residential estates; Bond commission; property rental; and Balwin Foundation. It derives majority of the revenue from Residential and commercial property rental segment.
49GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:BWN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R4.20
Price
R2.32
GF Value