Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Beneish M-Score: -1.96 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


JSE:FTH Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd JSE:FTH
82 GF Score
Price R5.71
GF Value R6.73
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Frontier Transport Holdings JSE:FTH -12.02% 82 Beneish M-Score is -1.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:FTH with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of R6.73 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 966 Transportation companies, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks worse than 80.43% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.96 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:FTH' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.88   Med: -2.26   Max: -1.38
Current: -1.96

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Frontier Transport Holdings was -1.38. The lowest was -3.88. And the median was -2.26.


Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Frontier Transport Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.19 -2.38 -1.38 -2.25 -1.96

Frontier Transport Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.38 0.00 -2.25 0.00 -1.96

JSE:FTH vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Transport Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:FTH
82GF Score
Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd JSE:FTH
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Frontier Transport Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Frontier Transport Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7354+0.528 * 1.0036+0.404 * 0.9282+0.892 * 0.9355+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.004432-0.327 * 1.1632
=-1.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was R109 Mil.
Revenue was R2,841 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,719 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R981 Mil.
Total Assets was R3,333 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R2,316 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R579 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R589 Mil.
Net Income was R382 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R397 Mil.
Total Receivables was R67 Mil.
Revenue was R3,037 Mil.
Gross Profit was R2,918 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R858 Mil.
Total Assets was R2,780 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R1,890 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R119 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R503 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R335 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(109.335 / 2840.974) / (67.35 / 3037.003)
=0.038485 / 0.022176
=1.7354

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2917.712 / 3037.003) / (2719.468 / 2840.974)
=0.960721 / 0.957231
=1.0036

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (980.892 + 2316.076) / 3333.329) / (1 - (857.582 + 1889.745) / 2779.998)
=0.010908 / 0.011752
=0.9282

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2840.974 / 3037.003
=0.9355

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(119.291 / (119.291 + 1889.745)) / (0 / (0 + 2316.076))
=0.059377 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2840.974) / (0 / 3037.003)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((589.471 + 579.485) / 3333.329) / ((335.346 + 502.81) / 2779.998)
=0.350687 / 0.301495
=1.1632

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(382.292 - 0 - 397.065) / 3333.329
=-0.004432

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frontier Transport Holdings has a M-score of -1.96 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -1.96 mean?
Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) has a Beneish M-Score of -1.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Frontier Transport Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #777 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 80.4%.
Is Frontier Transport Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
Frontier Transport Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -1.96. Based on the distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #777 out of 966 companies in the Transportation industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Frontier Transport Holdings has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Frontier Transport Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #777 out of 966 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Frontier Transport Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Transportation company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Frontier Transport Holdings and its competitors. Frontier Transport Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -1.96. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Frontier Transport Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R6.73, compared to a current price of R5.71 — trading 15.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -1.96. Frontier Transport Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH), the current Beneish M-Score is -1.96 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontier Transport Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R5.71 is trading 15.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of R6.73. GuruFocus considers Frontier Transport Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:FTH:

  • Beneish M-Score: -1.96
  • GF Value™: R6.73 vs. price of R5.71 (15.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:FTH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Frontier Transport Holdings Business Description

Address 103 Bofors Circle, Epping Industria, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7460
Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd is an investment entity tailored to consolidate and expand opportunities in the mobility and logistics sectors. The company through its subsidiary provides a scheduled commuter bus operator in the Cape Metropole. The company provides services such as Public Transport, School & Private Tours, Luxury Coaches, Shuttle Services, and Parts & Spares Sales.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:FTH

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R5.71
Price
R6.73
GF Value