Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 33.82% (As of Mar. 2026) — 143% Above Median

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JSE:FTH Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd JSE:FTH
78 GF Score
Price R5.99
GF Value R6.85
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Frontier Transport Holdings JSE:FTH 78 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 33.82% as of Mar. 2026, which is 143% above its 10-year median of 13.93. GuruFocus rates JSE:FTH with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of R6.85 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 766 Transportation companies, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks better than 74.28% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Frontier Transport Holdings's forward rate of return for was 33.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:FTH' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 9.06   Med: 13.93   Max: 20.8
Current: 20.07

During the past 12 years, Frontier Transport Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.80. The lowest was 9.06. And the median was 13.93.

JSE:FTH's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
74.28% of 766 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 10.27 vs JSE:FTH: 20.07

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Frontier Transport Holdings  (JSE:FTH) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Frontier Transport Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.97 22.57 23.40 24.75 33.82

Frontier Transport Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.14 21.03 26.76 28.36 35.03

JSE:FTH vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Railroads subindustry, Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


JSE:FTH
78GF Score
Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd JSE:FTH
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Frontier Transport Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Frontier Transport Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.27916667/5.71+0.1142
=33.82 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 33.82% mean?
Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 33.82% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Frontier Transport Holdings and its competitors. This is 143% above median its historical median of 13.93. Over the past decade, Frontier Transport Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.06 to 20.80. According to the industry distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #197 out of 766 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 25.7%.
Is Frontier Transport Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Frontier Transport Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 33.82% is 143% above median its 10-year median of 13.93. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 9.06 to a high of 20.80. The Transportation industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27. Frontier Transport Holdings' value of 33.82% is 229.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #197 out of 766 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Frontier Transport Holdings has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Frontier Transport Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, Frontier Transport Holdings ranks #197 out of 766 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Frontier Transport Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27. Frontier Transport Holdings' value of 33.82% is 229.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Frontier Transport Holdings' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 9.06 to 20.80 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 13.93 vs. the industry median of 10.27, Frontier Transport Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Transportation company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Transportation companies is 10.27, based on 766 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Frontier Transport Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 33.82% is 229.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Frontier Transport Holdings and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.27 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Frontier Transport Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 33.82%, which is 143% above median its own 10-year median of 13.93. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Frontier Transport Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R6.85, compared to a current price of R5.99 — trading 12.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 33.82%, which is 143% above median its 10-year median of 13.93 and 229.3% above the Transportation industry median of 10.27. Frontier Transport Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 33.82% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Frontier Transport Holdings (JSE:FTH) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontier Transport Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R5.99 is trading 12.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of R6.85. GuruFocus considers Frontier Transport Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:FTH:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 33.82% (143% above median its 10-year median of 13.93)
  • GF Value™: R6.85 vs. price of R5.99 (12.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 229.3% above the Transportation median (#197 of 766)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:FTH stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Frontier Transport Holdings Business Description

Address 103 Bofors Circle, Epping Industria, Cape Town, WC, ZAF, 7460
Frontier Transport Holdings Ltd is an investment entity tailored to consolidate and expand opportunities in the mobility and logistics sectors. The company through its subsidiary provides a scheduled commuter bus operator in the Cape Metropole. The company provides services such as Public Transport, School & Private Tours, Luxury Coaches, Shuttle Services, and Parts & Spares Sales.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:FTH

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R5.99
Price
R6.85
GF Value