York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK) Beneish M-Score: -2.41 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JSE:YRK York Timber Holdings Ltd JSE:YRK
48 GF Score
Price R2.05
GF Value R1,017.18
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is York Timber Holdings Beneish M-Score?

York Timber Holdings JSE:YRK 48 Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JSE:YRK with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of R1,017.18 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, York Timber Holdings ranks worse than 61.54% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.41 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for York Timber Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:YRK' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.18   Med: -2.46   Max: -2.29
Current: -2.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of York Timber Holdings was -2.29. The lowest was -11.18. And the median was -2.46.


York Timber Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for York Timber Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

York Timber Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

York Timber Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -2.80 -11.18 -2.99 -2.41

York Timber Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -2.99 0.00 -2.41 0.00

JSE:YRK vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, York Timber Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


York Timber Holdings Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, York Timber Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where York Timber Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.


JSE:YRK
48GF Score
York Timber Holdings Ltd JSE:YRK
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

York Timber Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of York Timber Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9413+0.528 * 0.658+0.404 * 1.0547+0.892 * 1.1431+0.115 * 1.0455
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.901+4.679 * 0.032602-0.327 * 1.0473
=-2.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun25) TTM:Last Year (Jun24) TTM:
Total Receivables was R225 Mil.
Revenue was R1,995 Mil.
Gross Profit was R873 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R1,150 Mil.
Total Assets was R4,979 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R944 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R108 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R77 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R551 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R466 Mil.
Net Income was R317 Mil.
Gross Profit was R0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was R154 Mil.
Total Receivables was R209 Mil.
Revenue was R1,745 Mil.
Gross Profit was R502 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R1,079 Mil.
Total Assets was R4,389 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R898 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R108 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R75 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R498 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R358 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(225.25 / 1994.906) / (209.35 / 1745.219)
=0.112913 / 0.119956
=0.9413

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(502.385 / 1745.219) / (872.695 / 1994.906)
=0.287864 / 0.437462
=0.658

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1149.777 + 943.727) / 4978.922) / (1 - (1079.303 + 897.778) / 4388.537)
=0.579527 / 0.54949
=1.0547

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1994.906 / 1745.219
=1.1431

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(107.82 / (107.82 + 897.778)) / (107.837 / (107.837 + 943.727))
=0.10722 / 0.102549
=1.0455

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(76.963 / 1994.906) / (74.729 / 1745.219)
=0.03858 / 0.042819
=0.901

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((466.227 + 551.174) / 4978.922) / ((358.051 + 498.22) / 4388.537)
=0.204342 / 0.195115
=1.0473

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(316.538 - 0 - 154.214) / 4978.922
=0.032602

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

York Timber Holdings has a M-score of -2.41 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 mean?
York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.41 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on York Timber Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, York Timber Holdings ranks #168 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 61.5%.
Is York Timber Holdings' Beneish M-Score too high?
York Timber Holdings' current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. Based on the distribution chart, York Timber Holdings ranks #168 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, York Timber Holdings has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does York Timber Holdings' Beneish M-Score compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, York Timber Holdings ranks #168 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places York Timber Holdings in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on York Timber Holdings and its competitors. York Timber Holdings's current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is York Timber Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is R1,017.18, compared to a current price of R2.05 — trading 99.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.41. York Timber Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.41 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, York Timber Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R2.05 is trading 99.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of R1,017.18. GuruFocus considers York Timber Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for JSE:YRK:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.41
  • GF Value™: R1,017.18 vs. price of R2.05 (99.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:YRK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


York Timber Holdings Business Description

Address 3 Main Road, York Corporate Office, Sabie, MP, ZAF, 1260
York Timber Holdings Ltd is a South African investment holding company with subsidiaries spanning the entire forestry value chain. It manages plantations, sawmills, and a plywood plant, supplying timber products domestically as well as across SADC and international markets. The Group also operates commercial farms producing avocados, macadamias, and citrus fruits. Its key segments are Processing Plants (sawmilling and plywood), Forestry and Fleet (plantations and log transport), Wholesale (timber distribution), and Agriculture (orchards and a packing facility in Mpumalanga). The majority of revenue comes from processing. The company operates in South Africa, SADC, and international (non-SADC) markets, with the majority of revenue generated in South Africa.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:YRK

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R2.05
Price
R1,017.18
GF Value