Attock Refinery (KAR:ATRL) Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


KAR:ATRL Attock Refinery Ltd KAR:ATRL
79 GF Score
Price ₨889.40
GF Value ₨507.94
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Attock Refinery Beneish M-Score?

Attock Refinery KAR:ATRL -1.78% 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:ATRL with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨507.94 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Attock Refinery ranks worse than 76.28% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:ATRL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -10.24   Med: -2.58   Max: 0.14
Current: -2.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Attock Refinery was 0.14. The lowest was -10.24. And the median was -2.58.


Attock Refinery Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Attock Refinery Beneish M-Score Chart

Attock Refinery Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.79 -1.90 -2.25 -2.42 -2.25

Attock Refinery Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.14 -2.25 -2.25 -2.30 -2.22

KAR:ATRL vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Attock Refinery Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:ATRL
79GF Score
Attock Refinery Ltd KAR:ATRL
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Attock Refinery Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Attock Refinery for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.5995+0.528 * 0.2629+0.404 * 0.8983+0.892 * 0.8762+0.115 * 1
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9074+4.679 * 0.059079-0.327 * 1.1239
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨33,401 Mil.
Revenue was 87772.333 + 77805.215 + 59365.202 + 66060.596 = ₨291,003 Mil.
Gross Profit was 17655.625 + 4092.921 + 986.028 + 4416.692 = ₨27,151 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨174,340 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨265,858 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨62,749 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨548 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨92,290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨0 Mil.
Net Income was 12664.829 + 4011.172 + 2400.759 + 2313.548 = ₨21,390 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5842.167 + 3308.025 + -3466.427 + 0 = ₨5,684 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨23,833 Mil.
Revenue was 74602.036 + 80187.077 + 80670.246 + 96671.623 = ₨332,131 Mil.
Gross Profit was 843.947 + 2834.593 + 1832.608 + 2634.754 = ₨8,146 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨132,119 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨221,539 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨62,734 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨0 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨688 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨68,173 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨251 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(33401.268 / 291003.346) / (23833.489 / 332130.982)
=0.11478 / 0.071759
=1.5995

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8145.902 / 332130.982) / (27151.266 / 291003.346)
=0.024526 / 0.093302
=0.2629

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (174339.739 + 62748.937) / 265858.014) / (1 - (132118.598 + 62734.112) / 221538.967)
=0.108213 / 0.120459
=0.8983

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=291003.346 / 332130.982
=0.8762

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(0 / (0 + 62734.112)) / (0 / (0 + 62748.937))
=0 / 0
=1

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(547.518 / 291003.346) / (688.489 / 332130.982)
=0.001881 / 0.002073
=0.9074

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 92289.753) / 265858.014) / ((251.416 + 68173.348) / 221538.967)
=0.347139 / 0.308861
=1.1239

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(21390.308 - 0 - 5683.765) / 265858.014
=0.059079

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Attock Refinery has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 mean?
Attock Refinery (KAR:ATRL) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Attock Refinery and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Attock Refinery ranks #627 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 76.3%.
Is Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score too high?
Attock Refinery's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Based on the distribution chart, Attock Refinery ranks #627 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Attock Refinery has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Attock Refinery's Beneish M-Score compare to VLO and MPC?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Attock Refinery ranks #627 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Attock Refinery in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Attock Refinery and its competitors. Attock Refinery's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Attock Refinery stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Attock Refinery (KAR:ATRL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨507.94, compared to a current price of ₨889.40 — trading 75.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Attock Refinery's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Attock Refinery (KAR:ATRL), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Attock Refinery (KAR:ATRL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Attock Refinery stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨889.40 is trading 75.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨507.94. GuruFocus considers Attock Refinery to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:ATRL:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.22
  • GF Value™: ₨507.94 vs. price of ₨889.40 (75.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:ATRL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Attock Refinery Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address The Refinery, P.O, Morgah, Rawalpindi, PB, PAK
Attock Refinery Ltd is a Pakistan-based oil refining company. It is engaged in refining crude oil and supplying refined petroleum products. Its products include liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), naphtha, kerosene oil, high-speed diesel, furnace fuel oil, jet petroleum, motor gasoline, and light diesel oil. The company mainly operates in Pakistan. The company generates the majority of its revenue from High Speed Diesel and Premier Motor Gasoline products.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:ATRL

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨889.40
Price
₨507.94
GF Value