Century Paper & Board Mills (KAR:CEPB) Beneish M-Score: -2.22 (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


KAR:CEPB Century Paper & Board Mills Ltd KAR:CEPB
62 GF Score
Price ₨30.12
GF Value ₨26.85
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Century Paper & Board Mills Beneish M-Score?

Century Paper & Board Mills KAR:CEPB 62 Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:CEPB with a GF Score™ of 62/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨26.85 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 273 Forest Products companies, Century Paper & Board Mills ranks worse than 74.36% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.22 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Paper & Board Mills's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:CEPB' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.3   Max: 0.45
Current: -2.22

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Century Paper & Board Mills was 0.45. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.30.


Century Paper & Board Mills Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Century Paper & Board Mills's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Century Paper & Board Mills Beneish M-Score Chart

Century Paper & Board Mills Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.64 -0.84 -2.33 -2.86 -2.15

Century Paper & Board Mills Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.33 -2.15 -2.55 -2.60 -2.22

KAR:CEPB vs SLVM: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Century Paper & Board Mills's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Paper & Board Mills Beneish M-Score vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Century Paper & Board Mills's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Paper & Board Mills's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:CEPB
62GF Score
Century Paper & Board Mills Ltd KAR:CEPB
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Century Paper & Board Mills Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Century Paper & Board Mills for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2385+0.528 * 1.3192+0.404 * 1.3497+0.892 * 1.0035+0.115 * 1.1272
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9+4.679 * -0.059632-0.327 * 1.0813
=-2.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨6,732 Mil.
Revenue was 10284.106 + 9022.218 + 10637.306 + 8299.849 = ₨38,243 Mil.
Gross Profit was 792.713 + 401.076 + 579.464 + 480.536 = ₨2,254 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨22,512 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨33,350 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨10,775 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,000 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨504 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨18,330 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨1,315 Mil.
Net Income was -64.345 + -284.59 + 13.295 + -415.157 = ₨-751 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1418.895 + -1193.862 + 2154.588 + 1696.108 = ₨1,238 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨5,417 Mil.
Revenue was 9177.558 + 9670.93 + 10132.236 + 9130.398 = ₨38,111 Mil.
Gross Profit was 380.364 + 771.639 + 1030.961 + 779.868 = ₨2,963 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨20,494 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨31,478 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨10,940 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨1,158 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨558 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨14,381 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨2,767 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(6732.132 / 38243.479) / (5416.715 / 38111.122)
=0.176033 / 0.14213
=1.2385

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2962.832 / 38111.122) / (2253.789 / 38243.479)
=0.077742 / 0.058933
=1.3192

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (22511.764 + 10775.312) / 33350.404) / (1 - (20493.894 + 10939.553) / 31477.722)
=0.001899 / 0.001407
=1.3497

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=38243.479 / 38111.122
=1.0035

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1157.847 / (1157.847 + 10939.553)) / (999.864 / (999.864 + 10775.312))
=0.09571 / 0.084913
=1.1272

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(503.725 / 38243.479) / (557.808 / 38111.122)
=0.013172 / 0.014636
=0.9

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1315.062 + 18330.121) / 33350.404) / ((2766.633 + 14381.324) / 31477.722)
=0.589054 / 0.544765
=1.0813

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-750.797 - 0 - 1237.939) / 33350.404
=-0.059632

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Century Paper & Board Mills has a M-score of -2.22 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 mean?
Century Paper & Board Mills (KAR:CEPB) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.22 as of Jun. 27, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Century Paper & Board Mills and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Century Paper & Board Mills ranks #203 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, placing it in the top 74.4%.
Is Century Paper & Board Mills' Beneish M-Score too high?
Century Paper & Board Mills' current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Based on the distribution chart, Century Paper & Board Mills ranks #203 out of 273 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Century Paper & Board Mills has a GF Score™ of 62/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Century Paper & Board Mills' Beneish M-Score compare to SLVM?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Century Paper & Board Mills ranks #203 out of 273 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Century Paper & Board Mills in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Forest Products company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Century Paper & Board Mills and its competitors. Century Paper & Board Mills's current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Century Paper & Board Mills stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Century Paper & Board Mills (KAR:CEPB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨26.85, compared to a current price of ₨30.12 — trading 12.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.22. Century Paper & Board Mills' overall GF Score™ is 62/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Century Paper & Board Mills (KAR:CEPB), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.22 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Century Paper & Board Mills (KAR:CEPB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Century Paper & Board Mills stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨30.12 is trading 12.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨26.85. GuruFocus considers Century Paper & Board Mills to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:CEPB:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.22
  • GF Value™: ₨26.85 vs. price of ₨30.12 (12.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 62/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:CEPB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Century Paper & Board Mills Business Description

Address Sarwar Shaheed Road, Lakson Square, Building No. 2, Karachi, SD, PAK, 74200
Century Paper & Board Mills Ltd is a Pakistan-based company engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of paper, board, and related products. Its product portfolio consists of Coated Brand, Uncoated Brand, MF Paper, MG Paper, Corrugated Boxes, and others.
62GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:CEPB

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨30.12
Price
₨26.85
GF Value