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Hoechst Pakistan (KAR:HPL) Beneish M-Score : -1.29 (As of Mar. 26, 2025)


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What is Hoechst Pakistan Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.29 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:HPL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.38   Med: -2.46   Max: -1.07
Current: -1.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hoechst Pakistan was -1.07. The lowest was -3.38. And the median was -2.46.


Hoechst Pakistan Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hoechst Pakistan Beneish M-Score Chart

Hoechst Pakistan Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.25 -2.73 -2.21 -3.38 -1.29

Hoechst Pakistan Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.38 -2.92 -1.92 -1.28 -1.29

Competitive Comparison of Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hoechst Pakistan's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Hoechst Pakistan Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hoechst Pakistan for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1048+0.528 * 0.8208+0.404 * 1.1568+0.892 * 1.2517+0.115 * 1.1984
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0939+4.679 * 0.198514-0.327 * 1.1159
=-1.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec24) TTM:Last Year (Dec23) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨878 Mil.
Revenue was 6231.068 + 7185.969 + 7043.482 + 6287.309 = ₨26,748 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2134.971 + 2507.795 + 2158.234 + 1626.537 = ₨8,428 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨10,970 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨13,557 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨2,147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨309 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨2,054 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨6,532 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨209 Mil.
Net Income was 652.238 + 378.906 + 490.187 + 335.816 = ₨1,857 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 614.376 + -1922.566 + 194.868 + 279.262 = ₨-834 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨635 Mil.
Revenue was 5489.72 + 5831.38 + 5285.241 + 4762.608 = ₨21,369 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1194.934 + 1785.162 + 905.098 + 1641.249 = ₨5,526 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨7,816 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨9,870 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨1,778 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨315 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨1,500 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨4,399 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(878.281 / 26747.828) / (635.076 / 21368.949)
=0.032836 / 0.02972
=1.1048

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5526.443 / 21368.949) / (8427.537 / 26747.828)
=0.25862 / 0.315074
=0.8208

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10970.298 + 2147.408) / 13556.735) / (1 - (7816.272 + 1777.765) / 9870.362)
=0.032385 / 0.027995
=1.1568

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=26747.828 / 21368.949
=1.2517

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(315.247 / (315.247 + 1777.765)) / (308.696 / (308.696 + 2147.408))
=0.150619 / 0.125685
=1.1984

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2053.824 / 26747.828) / (1500.001 / 21368.949)
=0.076785 / 0.070195
=1.0939

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((209.475 + 6532.317) / 13556.735) / ((0 + 4398.924) / 9870.362)
=0.497302 / 0.44567
=1.1159

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1857.147 - 0 - -834.06) / 13556.735
=0.198514

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hoechst Pakistan has a M-score of -1.29 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Hoechst Pakistan Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Hoechst Pakistan Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Korangi Industrial Area, Plot 23, Sector 22, Karachi, PAK, 74900
Hoechst Pakistan Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and selling of pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare products and vaccines.

Hoechst Pakistan Headlines

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