Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans (KAR:PABC) Beneish M-Score: 3.69 (As of Jul. 08, 2026)


KAR:PABC Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Ltd KAR:PABC
96 GF Score
Price ₨111.76
GF Value ₨95.64
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Beneish M-Score?

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans KAR:PABC -0.70% 96 Beneish M-Score is 3.69 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates KAR:PABC with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of ₨95.64 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans ranks worse than 97.59% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 3.69 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

KAR:PABC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.27   Med: -2.06   Max: 19.26
Current: 3.69

During the past 8 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans was 19.26. The lowest was -3.27. And the median was -2.06.


Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Beneish M-Score Chart

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 16.68 -2.97 -2.06 2.14

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.89 -2.30 -2.38 2.14 3.69

KAR:PABC vs SW, PKG, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's Beneish M-Score falls into.


KAR:PABC
96GF Score
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Ltd KAR:PABC
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.3576+0.528 * 1.0988+0.404 * 14.2482+0.892 * 1.0006+0.115 * 1.0141
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8362+4.679 * 0.068998-0.327 * 0.7432
=3.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was ₨1,893 Mil.
Revenue was 3779.858 + 2956.983 + 7491.134 + 8894.522 = ₨23,122 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1372.292 + 837.358 + 2240.139 + 3282.215 = ₨7,732 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨29,836 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨38,531 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨7,080 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨597 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨1,584 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨12,746 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨925 Mil.
Net Income was 1388.676 + -441.335 + 1766.311 + 2613.722 = ₨5,327 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = ₨0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 788.18 + -1688.008 + 4100.798 + -532.153 = ₨2,669 Mil.
Total Receivables was ₨1,394 Mil.
Revenue was 4649.769 + 5558.667 + 5774.128 + 7126.837 = ₨23,109 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1444.94 + 1834.414 + 2237.456 + 2974.418 = ₨8,491 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ₨29,799 Mil.
Total Assets was ₨37,143 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ₨7,234 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ₨620 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ₨1,894 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ₨16,639 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ₨1,092 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1893.176 / 23122.497) / (1393.693 / 23109.401)
=0.081876 / 0.060308
=1.3576

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8491.228 / 23109.401) / (7732.004 / 23122.497)
=0.367436 / 0.334393
=1.0988

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (29836.273 + 7079.888) / 38530.738) / (1 - (29799.422 + 7233.938) / 37142.611)
=0.041904 / 0.002941
=14.2482

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=23122.497 / 23109.401
=1.0006

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(619.56 / (619.56 + 7233.938)) / (597.229 / (597.229 + 7079.888))
=0.07889 / 0.077793
=1.0141

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1584.394 / 23122.497) / (1893.623 / 23109.401)
=0.068522 / 0.081942
=0.8362

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((924.72 + 12746.012) / 38530.738) / ((1092.03 + 16639.014) / 37142.611)
=0.354801 / 0.477377
=0.7432

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5327.374 - 0 - 2668.817) / 38530.738
=0.068998

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans has a M-score of 3.69 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 3.69 mean?
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans (KAR:PABC) has a Beneish M-Score of 3.69 as of Jul. 08, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans ranks #364 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 97.6%.
Is Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans' Beneish M-Score too high?
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans' current Beneish M-Score is 3.69. Based on the distribution chart, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans ranks #364 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans has a GF Score™ of 96/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans' Beneish M-Score compare to SW and PKG?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans ranks #364 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans and its competitors. Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans's current Beneish M-Score is 3.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans (KAR:PABC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₨95.64, compared to a current price of ₨111.76 — trading 16.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 3.69. Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans' overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans (KAR:PABC), the current Beneish M-Score is 3.69 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans (KAR:PABC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₨111.76 is trading 16.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₨95.64. GuruFocus considers Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KAR:PABC:

  • Beneish M-Score: 3.69
  • GF Value™: ₨95.64 vs. price of ₨111.76 (16.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KAR:PABC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Business Description

Address G-8/4, Block No. 12, PHA Flat No. 04, Islamabad, PAK
Pakistan Aluminium Beverage Cans Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of aluminum cans. Its products include various sizes and varieties of beverage cans. Geographically, the company generates revenue from Pakistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, and other regions.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KAR:PABC

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₨111.76
Price
₨95.64
GF Value