Carlsberg AS (LTS:0AI4) Beneish M-Score: -2.26 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


LTS:0AI4 Carlsberg AS LTS:0AI4
81 GF Score
Price kr877.30
GF Value kr1,097.38
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score?

Carlsberg AS LTS:0AI4 +1.16% 81 Beneish M-Score is -2.26 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0AI4 with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of kr1,097.38 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 201 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Carlsberg AS ranks worse than 76.62% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.26 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0AI4' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.68   Med: -2.71   Max: -2.23
Current: -2.26

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carlsberg AS was -2.23. The lowest was -4.68. And the median was -2.71.


Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Carlsberg AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -3.20 -4.68 -2.59 -2.26

Carlsberg AS Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.68 0.00 -2.59 0.00 -2.26

LTS:0AI4 vs STZ, TAP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.


LTS:0AI4
81GF Score
Carlsberg AS LTS:0AI4
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carlsberg AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2514+0.528 * 1.0149+0.404 * 1.1233+0.892 * 1.1878+0.115 * 0.9789
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0011+4.679 * -0.042064-0.327 * 1.1094
=-2.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr10,699 Mil.
Revenue was kr89,095 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr40,236 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr29,249 Mil.
Total Assets was kr153,955 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr32,780 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr5,428 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr28,089 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr48,546 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr61,452 Mil.
Net Income was kr5,955 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was kr12,431 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr7,198 Mil.
Revenue was kr75,011 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr34,380 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr26,347 Mil.
Total Assets was kr113,992 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr27,053 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr4,370 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr23,623 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr46,023 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr27,392 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(10699 / 89095) / (7198 / 75011)
=0.120085 / 0.095959
=1.2514

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(34380 / 75011) / (40236 / 89095)
=0.458333 / 0.451608
=1.0149

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (29249 + 32780) / 153955) / (1 - (26347 + 27053) / 113992)
=0.597097 / 0.531546
=1.1233

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=89095 / 75011
=1.1878

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4370 / (4370 + 27053)) / (5428 / (5428 + 32780))
=0.13907 / 0.142064
=0.9789

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(28089 / 89095) / (23623 / 75011)
=0.31527 / 0.314927
=1.0011

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((61452 + 48546) / 153955) / ((27392 + 46023) / 113992)
=0.714482 / 0.644036
=1.1094

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(5955 - 0 - 12431) / 153955
=-0.042064

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carlsberg AS has a M-score of -2.26 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.26 mean?
Carlsberg AS (LTS:0AI4) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.26 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carlsberg AS and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Carlsberg AS ranks #154 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 76.6%.
Is Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score too high?
Carlsberg AS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. Based on the distribution chart, Carlsberg AS ranks #154 out of 201 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Carlsberg AS has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Carlsberg AS ranks #154 out of 201 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Carlsberg AS in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carlsberg AS and its competitors. Carlsberg AS's current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carlsberg AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carlsberg AS (LTS:0AI4) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr1,097.38, compared to a current price of kr877.30 — trading 20.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.26. Carlsberg AS's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carlsberg AS (LTS:0AI4), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.26 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carlsberg AS (LTS:0AI4) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carlsberg AS stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr877.30 is trading 20.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr1,097.38. GuruFocus considers Carlsberg AS to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0AI4:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.26
  • GF Value™: kr1,097.38 vs. price of kr877.30 (20.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0AI4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carlsberg AS Business Description

Address J.C. Jacobsens Gade 1, Copenhagen, DNK, 1799
Carlsberg is the third-largest brewer in the world after Anheuser-Busch InBev and Heineken. It holds leading share in Scandinavia, western China, and several other markets in Asia. Its key brands include Carlsberg, 1664, Tuborg, Holsten, and Somersby. The company's 2025 beverage volume was split among Western Europe (42%), Eastern Europe and India (28%), and Asia (30%).
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0AI4

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr877.30
Price
kr1,097.38
GF Value