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Herc Holdings (LTS:0J4L) Beneish M-Score : -2.77 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.77 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0J4L' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.05   Med: -2.84   Max: -2.49
Current: -2.77

During the past 11 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Herc Holdings was -2.49. The lowest was -5.05. And the median was -2.84.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Chart

Herc Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.23 -3.15 -2.76 -2.69 -2.74

Herc Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.81 -2.74 -2.72 -2.76 -2.77

Competitive Comparison of Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Herc Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9827+0.528 * 0.9975+0.404 * 1.354+0.892 * 1.0655+0.115 * 1.0329
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9997+4.679 * -0.103157-0.327 * 0.9856
=-2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $623 Mil.
Revenue was 965 + 848 + 804 + 832 = $3,449 Mil.
Gross Profit was 385 + 306 + 285 + 324 = $1,300 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $851 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,172 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,666 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $783 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $474 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $697 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,094 Mil.
Net Income was 122 + 70 + 65 + 91 = $348 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 1 + 6 = $7 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 336 + 318 + 240 + 290 = $1,184 Mil.
Total Receivables was $595 Mil.
Revenue was 908 + 802 + 740 + 787 = $3,237 Mil.
Gross Profit was 347 + 296 + 256 + 318 = $1,217 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $729 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,893 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,133 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $736 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $445 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $538 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,418 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(623 / 3449) / (595 / 3237)
=0.180632 / 0.183812
=0.9827

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1217 / 3237) / (1300 / 3449)
=0.375965 / 0.376921
=0.9975

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (851 + 5666) / 8172) / (1 - (729 + 5133) / 6893)
=0.202521 / 0.149572
=1.354

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3449 / 3237
=1.0655

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(736 / (736 + 5133)) / (783 / (783 + 5666))
=0.125405 / 0.121414
=1.0329

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(474 / 3449) / (445 / 3237)
=0.137431 / 0.137473
=0.9997

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5094 + 697) / 8172) / ((4418 + 538) / 6893)
=0.708639 / 0.71899
=0.9856

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(348 - 7 - 1184) / 8172
=-0.103157

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Herc Holdings has a M-score of -2.77 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Herc Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Herc Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
27500 Riverview Center Boulevard, Bonita Springs, FL, USA, 34134
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest equipment rental company (4% market share) in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with a fleet size of $6.4 billion. It serves commercial and residential construction customers, the environmental sector, industrial entities, and entertainment production companies. During much of its 50-year-plus history, the company has rented equipment such as aerial lifts to its customers for intermittent use. More recently, it has broadened its catalog to include a host of specialty items. Separately, Herc Holdings' strategy now incorporates long-term rentals to industrial customers where Herc maintains its own staff at the customer site.

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