AST SpaceMobile (MEX:ASTS) Beneish M-Score: 23.91 (As of Jul. 19, 2026)

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MEX:ASTS AST SpaceMobile Inc MEX:ASTS
23 GF Score
Price MXN1,016.74
GF Value MXN8,653.05
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AST SpaceMobile Beneish M-Score?

AST SpaceMobile MEX:ASTS +7.70% 23 Beneish M-Score is 23.91 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ASTS with a GF Score™ of 23/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN8,653.05 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 2,405 Hardware companies, AST SpaceMobile ranks worse than 99.58% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score 23.91 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ASTS' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.99   Med: -0.24   Max: 45.11
Current: 23.91

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AST SpaceMobile was 45.11. The lowest was -7.99. And the median was -0.24.


AST SpaceMobile Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AST SpaceMobile Beneish M-Score Chart

AST SpaceMobile Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 -1.07 0.00 0.00 45.11

AST SpaceMobile Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.42 4.21 12.11 45.11 23.91

MEX:ASTS vs ZBRA, VIAV, AAOI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AST SpaceMobile Beneish M-Score vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:ASTS
23GF Score
AST SpaceMobile Inc MEX:ASTS
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AST SpaceMobile Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AST SpaceMobile for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 2.2099+0.404 * 25.9659+0.892 * 16.5414+0.115 * 2.9476
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.1046+4.679 * -0.018974-0.327 * 1.2769
=22.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN495 Mil.
Revenue was 265.712 + 977.8 + 270.375 + 21.767 = MXN1,536 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55.649 + 448.198 + 169.28 + 21.767 = MXN695 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN56,850 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN109,118 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN29,891 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,055 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,320 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN3,078 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN53,740 Mil.
Net Income was -3444.462 + -1331.81 + -2254.025 + -1871.51 = MXN-8,902 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1834.286 + -457.525 + -1622.93 + -1218.701 = MXN-5,133 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -866.615 + 1169.812 + -1182.504 + -818.656 = MXN-1,698 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN0 Mil.
Revenue was 14.689 + 40.001 + 21.659 + 16.488 = MXN93 Mil.
Gross Profit was 14.689 + 40.001 + 21.659 + 16.488 = MXN93 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN18,302 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN28,021 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN9,497 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN1,061 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN1,340 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN1,723 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN9,704 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(495.052 / 1535.654) / (0 / 92.837)
=0.322372 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(92.837 / 92.837) / (694.894 / 1535.654)
=1 / 0.452507
=2.2099

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (56849.872 + 29890.607) / 109118.41) / (1 - (18302.008 + 9497.453) / 28020.758)
=0.205079 / 0.007898
=25.9659

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1535.654 / 92.837
=16.5414

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1060.561 / (1060.561 + 9497.453)) / (1054.585 / (1054.585 + 29890.607))
=0.100451 / 0.034079
=2.9476

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2319.568 / 1535.654) / (1340.496 / 92.837)
=1.510476 / 14.439243
=0.1046

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((53739.862 + 3078.182) / 109118.41) / ((9703.631 + 1722.949) / 28020.758)
=0.520701 / 0.40779
=1.2769

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-8901.807 - -5133.442 - -1697.963) / 109118.41
=-0.018974

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AST SpaceMobile has a M-score of 22.31 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of 23.91 mean?
AST SpaceMobile (MEX:ASTS) has a Beneish M-Score of 23.91 as of Jul. 19, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AST SpaceMobile and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #2395 out of 2405 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 99.6%.
Is AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score too high?
AST SpaceMobile's current Beneish M-Score is 23.91. Based on the distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #2395 out of 2405 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, AST SpaceMobile has a GF Score™ of 23/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AST SpaceMobile's Beneish M-Score compare to ZBRA and VIAV?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, AST SpaceMobile ranks #2395 out of 2405 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places AST SpaceMobile in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Hardware company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on AST SpaceMobile and its competitors. AST SpaceMobile's current Beneish M-Score is 23.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AST SpaceMobile stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AST SpaceMobile (MEX:ASTS) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN8,653.05, compared to a current price of MXN1,016.74 — trading 88.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is 23.91. AST SpaceMobile's overall GF Score™ is 23/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AST SpaceMobile (MEX:ASTS), the current Beneish M-Score is 23.91 as of Jul. 19, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AST SpaceMobile (MEX:ASTS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AST SpaceMobile stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,016.74 is trading 88.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN8,653.05. GuruFocus considers AST SpaceMobile to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ASTS:

  • Beneish M-Score: 23.91
  • GF Value™: MXN8,653.05 vs. price of MXN1,016.74 (88.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 23/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ASTS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AST SpaceMobile Business Description

Address 2901 Enterprise Lane, Midland International Air & Space Port, Midland, TX, USA, 79706
AST SpaceMobile Inc is currently designing, developing and manufacturing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has begun launching its planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. The company is building a cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices, and off-the-shelf mobile phones based on extensive IP and patent portfolio. It has focused on eliminating the connectivity gaps faced by mobile subscribers. The Company's spaceMobile Service is being designed to provide cost-effective, high-speed Cellular Broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices.
23GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ASTS

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,016.74
Price
MXN8,653.05
GF Value