Carrefour (MEX:CA) Beneish M-Score: -2.78 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:CA Carrefour MEX:CA
79 GF Score
Price MXN305.44
GF Value MXN288.15
! 12 Warning Signs
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What is Carrefour Beneish M-Score?

Carrefour MEX:CA 79 Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CA with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN288.15. The stock has 12 warning signs investors should review. Among 293 Retail - Defensive companies, Carrefour ranks better than 66.21% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carrefour's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:CA' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.54
Current: -2.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carrefour was -2.54. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was -2.72.


Carrefour Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carrefour's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carrefour Beneish M-Score Chart

Carrefour Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.68 -2.54 -2.62 -2.75 -2.78

Carrefour Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.62 0.00 -2.75 0.00 -2.78

MEX:CA vs KR, SFM, ACI: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Carrefour's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carrefour Beneish M-Score vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Carrefour's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carrefour's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:CA
79GF Score
Carrefour MEX:CA
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carrefour Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carrefour for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9849+0.528 * 1.0133+0.404 * 1.0131+0.892 * 0.9721+0.115 * 0.9226
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9281+4.679 * -0.065727-0.327 * 1.0137
=-2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec25) TTM:Last Year (Dec24) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN177,190 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,771,558 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN337,849 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN481,178 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,164,109 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN353,494 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN49,526 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN63,125 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN550,165 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN90,029 Mil.
Net Income was MXN6,726 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was MXN83,239 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN185,081 Mil.
Revenue was MXN1,822,482 Mil.
Gross Profit was MXN352,167 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN519,907 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN1,252,718 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN382,893 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN48,962 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN69,970 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN592,760 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN86,830 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(177189.582 / 1771558.474) / (185080.688 / 1822482.442)
=0.100019 / 0.101554
=0.9849

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(352166.511 / 1822482.442) / (337849.341 / 1771558.474)
=0.193235 / 0.190707
=1.0133

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (481178.086 + 353493.637) / 1164108.565) / (1 - (519907.487 + 382893.181) / 1252717.821)
=0.282995 / 0.279326
=1.0131

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1771558.474 / 1822482.442
=0.9721

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(48961.759 / (48961.759 + 382893.181)) / (49526.217 / (49526.217 + 353493.637))
=0.113375 / 0.122888
=0.9226

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(63125.37 / 1771558.474) / (69970.328 / 1822482.442)
=0.035633 / 0.038393
=0.9281

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((90028.5 + 550164.796) / 1164108.565) / ((86829.595 + 592760.487) / 1252717.821)
=0.549943 / 0.542493
=1.0137

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6725.783 - 0 - 83239.466) / 1164108.565
=-0.065727

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carrefour has a M-score of -2.82 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 mean?
Carrefour (MEX:CA) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carrefour and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Carrefour ranks #99 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 33.8%.
Is Carrefour's Beneish M-Score too high?
Carrefour's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Based on the distribution chart, Carrefour ranks #99 out of 293 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Carrefour has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carrefour's Beneish M-Score compare to KR and SFM?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Carrefour ranks #99 out of 293 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Carrefour in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Carrefour and its competitors. Carrefour's current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carrefour stock overvalued right now?
Carrefour (MEX:CA) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.78. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN288.15, compared to a current price of MXN305.44 — trading 6% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.78. Carrefour's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 12 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carrefour (MEX:CA), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.78 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carrefour (MEX:CA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carrefour stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN305.44 is trading 6% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN288.15.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CA:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.78
  • GF Value™: MXN288.15 vs. price of MXN305.44 (6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 12 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carrefour Business Description

Address 93, Avenue de Paris, Massy Cedex, Paris, FRA, 91300
Founded in 1959, Carrefour is a multiformat retailer with operations in over 40 countries. Approximately 75% of sales stem from Europe and the rest from Latin America. In France, where Carrefour generates nearly 50% of its total revenue, the firm has a grocery market share of 22%, behind market leader E.Leclerc (24%), according to Kantar. Carrefour operates over 15,000 stores in hypermarket, supermarket, convenience store, and discount store formats. In 2024, Carrefour completed the acquisition of the Cora and Match banners from Louis Delhaize group for an enterprise value of EUR 1.05 billion.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CA

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN305.44
Price
MXN288.15
GF Value