Embraer (MEX:ERJN) Beneish M-Score: -2.88 (As of Aug. 26, 2026)

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MEX:ERJN Embraer SA MEX:ERJN
63 GF Score
Price MXN1,294.00
GF Value MXN975.00
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Embraer Beneish M-Score?

Embraer MEX:ERJN 63 Beneish M-Score is -2.88 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ERJN with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN975.00 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, Embraer ranks better than 79.14% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.88 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Embraer's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:ERJN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42   Med: -2.59   Max: -1.07
Current: -2.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Embraer was -1.07. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was -2.59.


Embraer Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Embraer's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Embraer Beneish M-Score Chart

Embraer Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -3.00 -2.57 -2.26 -2.78

Embraer Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.45 -2.77 -2.78 -2.69 -2.88

MEX:ERJN vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Embraer's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Embraer Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Embraer's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Embraer's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:ERJN
63GF Score
Embraer SA MEX:ERJN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Embraer Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Embraer for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.6915+0.528 * 1.0382+0.404 * 0.9654+0.892 * 1.0812+0.115 * 1.0174
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9196+4.679 * -0.0454-0.327 * 0.9721
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN19,213 Mil.
Revenue was 39003.75 + 26087.907 + 47747.515 + 36752.605 = MXN149,592 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7761.315 + 4692.109 + 7962.121 + 6319.577 = MXN26,735 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN128,589 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN230,979 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN40,072 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN4,816 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN10,312 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN89,365 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN42,518 Mil.
Net Income was 3709.657 + 602.292 + 1499.875 + 2138.934 = MXN7,951 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -88.99 + -63.114 + -2555.009 + -95.39 = MXN-2,803 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 7806.683 + -7003.901 + 15430.885 + 5006.132 = MXN21,240 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN25,696 Mil.
Revenue was 34254.081 + 22565.395 + 48207.951 + 33323.864 = MXN138,351 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6644.825 + 3868.646 + 8959.609 + 6198.506 = MXN25,672 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN122,719 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN227,334 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN41,078 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,034 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN10,372 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN92,455 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN41,076 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(19213.094 / 149591.777) / (25696.209 / 138351.291)
=0.128437 / 0.185732
=0.6915

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(25671.586 / 138351.291) / (26735.122 / 149591.777)
=0.185554 / 0.178721
=1.0382

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (128588.661 + 40071.628) / 230979.393) / (1 - (122719.311 + 41077.783) / 227334.346)
=0.269804 / 0.279488
=0.9654

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=149591.777 / 138351.291
=1.0812

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5033.76 / (5033.76 + 41077.783)) / (4816.447 / (4816.447 + 40071.628))
=0.109165 / 0.107299
=1.0174

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(10312.448 / 149591.777) / (10371.851 / 138351.291)
=0.068937 / 0.074968
=0.9196

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((42517.978 + 89365.053) / 230979.393) / ((41075.9 + 92455.138) / 227334.346)
=0.570973 / 0.587377
=0.9721

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(7950.758 - -2802.503 - 21239.799) / 230979.393
=-0.0454

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Embraer has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.88 mean?
Embraer (MEX:ERJN) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.88 as of Aug. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Embraer and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Embraer ranks #68 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 20.9%.
Is Embraer's Beneish M-Score too high?
Embraer's current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. Based on the distribution chart, Embraer ranks #68 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Embraer has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Embraer's Beneish M-Score compare to SPCX and GE?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Embraer ranks #68 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Embraer in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Embraer and its competitors. Embraer's current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Embraer stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Embraer (MEX:ERJN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN975.00, compared to a current price of MXN1,294.00 — trading 32.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.88. Embraer's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Embraer (MEX:ERJN), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.88 as of Aug. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Embraer (MEX:ERJN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Embraer stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,294.00 is trading 32.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN975.00. GuruFocus considers Embraer to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ERJN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.88
  • GF Value™: MXN975.00 vs. price of MXN1,294.00 (32.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ERJN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Embraer Business Description

Address Avenida Dra. Ruth Cardoso, 8501, 30th Floor, Eldorado Business Tower, Pinheiros, SP, BRA, 05425-070
Embraer SA based in Sao Paulo, Brazil, manufacturer of jets. Its focus is to achieve customer satisfaction with and services addressing the commercial airline, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It has developed a customer-centric technology-driven portfolio of commercial aviation products and services that allows it to build long-term relationships with clients in the commercial aviation, executive jets, and defense and security markets. It operates through the various segments namely Commercial Aviation, Defense and Security, Executive Aviation, Service and Support, and Other Segments. The company generates maximum revenue from the Commercial Aviation segment. Geographically, the company operates in Brazil, Europe, Asia Pacific, North America, and Others.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ERJN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,294.00
Price
MXN975.00
GF Value