Frontera Energy (MEX:FECN) Beneish M-Score: -3.78 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:FECN Frontera Energy Corp MEX:FECN
43 GF Score
Price MXN124.00
GF Value MXN54.07
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Frontera Energy Beneish M-Score?

Frontera Energy MEX:FECN 43 Beneish M-Score is -3.78 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:FECN with a GF Score™ of 43/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN54.07. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Frontera Energy ranks better than 90.51% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.78 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:FECN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.64   Med: -2.97   Max: 0.42
Current: -3.78

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Frontera Energy was 0.42. The lowest was -8.64. And the median was -2.97.


Frontera Energy Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Frontera Energy Beneish M-Score Chart

Frontera Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -3.43 -1.46 -3.79 -2.71

Frontera Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.71 -3.19 -2.73 -2.71 -3.78

MEX:FECN vs COP, EOG, OXY: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontera Energy Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:FECN
43GF Score
Frontera Energy Corp MEX:FECN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Frontera Energy Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Frontera Energy for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.4744+0.528 * 2.4069+0.404 * 0.9568+0.892 * 0.8301+0.115 * 0.1672
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1808+4.679 * -0.212616-0.327 * 2.059
=-3.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN1,444 Mil.
Revenue was 228.186 + 4334.314 + 4764.099 + 4560.263 = MXN13,887 Mil.
Gross Profit was 61.87 + 93.125 + 416.762 + 531.567 = MXN1,103 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN27,525 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN33,553 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN5,055 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN3,916 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN761 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN20,955 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN2,252 Mil.
Net Income was -277.776 + -11891.847 + 466.255 + -8571.278 = MXN-20,275 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 313.733 + -11067.33 + 128.868 + -8733.19 = MXN-19,358 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -199.766 + 3519.862 + 2110.207 + 786.797 = MXN6,217 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN3,666 Mil.
Revenue was 205.155 + 5951.779 + 5344.893 + 5226.67 = MXN16,728 Mil.
Gross Profit was 63.707 + 1181.997 + 839.555 + 1113.734 = MXN3,199 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN8,716 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN58,663 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN48,170 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN3,793 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN776 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN10,356 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN9,350 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1443.626 / 13886.862) / (3665.537 / 16728.497)
=0.103956 / 0.219119
=0.4744

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3198.993 / 16728.497) / (1103.324 / 13886.862)
=0.19123 / 0.079451
=2.4069

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (27525.258 + 5055.323) / 33552.561) / (1 - (8716.257 + 48170.489) / 58662.845)
=0.028969 / 0.030276
=0.9568

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=13886.862 / 16728.497
=0.8301

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3793.147 / (3793.147 + 48170.489)) / (3916.268 / (3916.268 + 5055.323))
=0.072996 / 0.436519
=0.1672

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(760.657 / 13886.862) / (776.034 / 16728.497)
=0.054775 / 0.04639
=1.1808

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2252.122 + 20954.556) / 33552.561) / ((9349.97 + 10355.736) / 58662.845)
=0.691651 / 0.335915
=2.059

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-20274.646 - -19357.919 - 6217.1) / 33552.561
=-0.212616

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Frontera Energy has a M-score of -3.86 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.78 mean?
Frontera Energy (MEX:FECN) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.78 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Frontera Energy and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Frontera Energy ranks #78 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 9.5%.
Is Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score too high?
Frontera Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -3.78. Based on the distribution chart, Frontera Energy ranks #78 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Frontera Energy has a GF Score™ of 43/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Frontera Energy's Beneish M-Score compare to COP and EOG?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Frontera Energy ranks #78 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Frontera Energy in the top 10% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Frontera Energy and its competitors. Frontera Energy's current Beneish M-Score is -3.78. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Frontera Energy stock overvalued right now?
Frontera Energy (MEX:FECN) has a current Beneish M-Score of -3.78. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN54.07, compared to a current price of MXN124.00 — trading 129.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.78. Frontera Energy's overall GF Score™ is 43/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Frontera Energy (MEX:FECN), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.78 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Frontera Energy (MEX:FECN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Frontera Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN124.00 is trading 129.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN54.07.

Key valuation signals for MEX:FECN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.78
  • GF Value™: MXN54.07 vs. price of MXN124.00 (129.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 43/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:FECN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Frontera Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 140 4 Avenue SW, Suite 1030, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 3N3
Frontera Energy Corp is a Canadian-based company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves in South America. It operates in three reportable segments such as Colombia which includes all upstream business activities of exploration and production in Colombia, Guyana Includes all offshore business activities of exploration in Guyana. and Infrastructure Colombia Includes the Companies investment in certain infrastructure, midstream and other assets, including storage, port, the reverse osmosis water treatment facility (SAARA), the palm oil plantation, other facilities in Colombia and the Companies investment in pipelines. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Colombia segment.
43GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:FECN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN124.00
Price
MXN54.07
GF Value