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Grupo CarsoB de CV (MEX:GCARSOA1) Beneish M-Score : -3.89 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Grupo CarsoB de CV Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.89 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:GCARSOA1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.89   Med: -2.37   Max: -2.04
Current: -3.89

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Grupo CarsoB de CV was -2.04. The lowest was -3.89. And the median was -2.37.


Grupo CarsoB de CV Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grupo CarsoB de CV Beneish M-Score Chart

Grupo CarsoB de CV Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.15 -2.17 -2.36 -2.04 -2.44

Grupo CarsoB de CV Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.31 -2.44 -2.54 -3.67 -3.89

Competitive Comparison of Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grupo CarsoB de CV's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Grupo CarsoB de CV Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Grupo CarsoB de CV for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.0276+0.528 * 0.9834+0.404 * 0.0172+0.892 * 1.005+0.115 * 1.9936
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0403+4.679 * -0.044812-0.327 * 1.0289
=-3.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN1,446 Mil.
Revenue was 49541.877 + 48294.466 + 46071.301 + 55428.296 = MXN199,336 Mil.
Gross Profit was 11840.752 + 12017.64 + 12162.877 + 15932.897 = MXN51,954 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN112,739 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN273,792 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN159,571 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN6,526 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN15,343 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN63,937 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN39,961 Mil.
Net Income was 3011.418 + 4646.261 + 3016.981 + 3378.426 = MXN14,053 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = MXN0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 14583.5 + -1309.237 + 7471.667 + 5576.276 = MXN26,322 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN52,149 Mil.
Revenue was 45728.273 + 48277.61 + 49021.13 + 55314.874 = MXN198,342 Mil.
Gross Profit was 12092.146 + 12526.56 + 11876.89 + 14338.824 = MXN50,834 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN101,776 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN248,122 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN68,485 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,820 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN14,675 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN63,702 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN27,806 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1445.58 / 199335.94) / (52149.102 / 198341.887)
=0.007252 / 0.262925
=0.0276

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(50834.42 / 198341.887) / (51954.166 / 199335.94)
=0.256297 / 0.260636
=0.9834

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (112738.754 + 159571.415) / 273792.154) / (1 - (101776.479 + 68484.834) / 248122.393)
=0.005413 / 0.313801
=0.0172

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=199335.94 / 198341.887
=1.005

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5819.904 / (5819.904 + 68484.834)) / (6525.547 / (6525.547 + 159571.415))
=0.078325 / 0.039288
=1.9936

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(15343.402 / 199335.94) / (14675.457 / 198341.887)
=0.076973 / 0.073991
=1.0403

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((39961.105 + 63936.52) / 273792.154) / ((27806.361 + 63702.403) / 248122.393)
=0.379476 / 0.368805
=1.0289

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(14053.086 - 0 - 26322.206) / 273792.154
=-0.044812

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Grupo CarsoB de CV has a M-score of -3.89 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Grupo CarsoB de CV Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Grupo CarsoB de CV Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
255 Frisco Building, Lago Zurich 245, 6th Floor, Ampliacion Granada, Mexico City, MEX, 11529
Grupo Carso SAB de CV is a conglomerate based in Mexico with business presence in several countries, mainly in the Americas and Europe. The firm has operations in four main business segments: commercial and retail, industrial and manufacturing, infrastructure and construction, and energy. The largest contributor to sales, the commercial and retail division, serves middle- and high-income consumers and operates department stores, boutiques, restaurants, and multimedia stores. The industrial and manufacturing segment has a portfolio of products and services focused on cables, power transformers and reactors, and alternative energies, among others. The infrastructure and construction division serves sectors like the oil and chemical industries, pipeline installation, and housing development.

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