Howmet Aerospace (MEX:HWM) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc MEX:HWM
69 GF Score
Price MXN4,875.00
GF Value MXN2,459.04
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score?

Howmet Aerospace MEX:HWM +0.41% 69 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:HWM with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,459.04 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 326 Aerospace & Defense companies, Howmet Aerospace ranks better than 68.71% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:HWM' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.09   Med: -2.31   Max: -0.36
Current: -2.66

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Howmet Aerospace was -0.36. The lowest was -3.09. And the median was -2.31.


Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Chart

Howmet Aerospace Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.23 -2.31 -2.29 -2.50 -2.49

Howmet Aerospace Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.43 -2.30 -2.47 -2.49 -2.66

MEX:HWM vs GD, LMT, RKLB: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:HWM
69GF Score
Howmet Aerospace Inc MEX:HWM
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Howmet Aerospace Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Howmet Aerospace for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8731+0.528 * 0.9193+0.404 * 0.8558+0.892 * 1.0533+0.115 * 0.9384
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9976+4.679 * -0.02267-0.327 * 1.0526
=-2.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN16,951 Mil.
Revenue was 41709.635 + 39036.358 + 38321.034 + 38656.348 = MXN157,723 Mil.
Gross Profit was 15399.926 + 13612.309 + 13281.201 + 12954.49 = MXN55,248 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN102,011 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN235,633 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN47,137 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,269 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN7,642 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN41,746 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN73,032 Mil.
Net Income was 10458.966 + 6698.12 + 7062.517 + 7663.484 = MXN31,883 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 1460.649 + -1836.581 + -275.163 + -207.121 = MXN-858 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 8168.813 + 11775.728 + 9740.77 + 8397.823 = MXN38,083 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN18,433 Mil.
Revenue was 39729.824 + 39438.129 + 36131.701 + 34441.794 = MXN149,741 Mil.
Gross Profit was 13338.746 + 12555.131 + 11459.755 + 10863.821 = MXN48,217 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN72,708 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN220,376 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN53,150 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN5,537 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN7,273 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN31,669 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN70,315 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(16950.738 / 157723.375) / (18432.838 / 149741.448)
=0.107471 / 0.123098
=0.8731

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48217.453 / 149741.448) / (55247.926 / 157723.375)
=0.322005 / 0.350284
=0.9193

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (102010.984 + 47137.478) / 235633.291) / (1 - (72708.443 + 53150.404) / 220375.731)
=0.367031 / 0.42889
=0.8558

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=157723.375 / 149741.448
=1.0533

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(5537.109 / (5537.109 + 53150.404)) / (5268.833 / (5268.833 + 47137.478))
=0.094349 / 0.100538
=0.9384

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7642.286 / 157723.375) / (7273.278 / 149741.448)
=0.048454 / 0.048572
=0.9976

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((73032.435 + 41745.701) / 235633.291) / ((70314.833 + 31669.294) / 220375.731)
=0.487105 / 0.462774
=1.0526

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(31883.087 - -858.216 - 38083.134) / 235633.291
=-0.02267

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Howmet Aerospace has a M-score of -2.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Howmet Aerospace (MEX:HWM) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Howmet Aerospace and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Howmet Aerospace ranks #102 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, placing it in the top 31.3%.
Is Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score too high?
Howmet Aerospace's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Howmet Aerospace ranks #102 out of 326 companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Howmet Aerospace has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Howmet Aerospace's Beneish M-Score compare to GD and LMT?
According to the Aerospace & Defense industry distribution chart, Howmet Aerospace ranks #102 out of 326 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Howmet Aerospace in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Aerospace & Defense company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Aerospace & Defense industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Howmet Aerospace and its competitors. Howmet Aerospace's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Howmet Aerospace stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Howmet Aerospace (MEX:HWM) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,459.04, compared to a current price of MXN4,875.00 — trading 98.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Howmet Aerospace's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Howmet Aerospace (MEX:HWM), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Howmet Aerospace (MEX:HWM) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Howmet Aerospace stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN4,875.00 is trading 98.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,459.04. GuruFocus considers Howmet Aerospace to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:HWM:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: MXN2,459.04 vs. price of MXN4,875.00 (98.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:HWM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Howmet Aerospace Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 200, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5872
Howmet Aerospace Inc offers engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries. The company's products and solutions include investment castings for jet engines and industrial gas turbines; seamless rolled rings for jet engines; fastening systems for aerospace, industrial and commercial transportation applications; forged jet engine components (e.g., jet engine disks); machined and forged aircraft parts; and forged aluminum commercial vehicle wheels, all of which are sold directly to customers or through distributors. It has four reportable segments: Engine Products, which derives key revenue, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from the USA, followed by France, Japan, Germany, and other markets.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:HWM

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,875.00
Price
MXN2,459.04
GF Value