Lumen Technologies (MEX:LUMN) Beneish M-Score: -3.58 (As of Aug. 14, 2026)

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MEX:LUMN Lumen Technologies Inc MEX:LUMN
36 GF Score
Price MXN107.00
GF Value MXN80.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score?

Lumen Technologies MEX:LUMN -2.73% 36 Beneish M-Score is -3.58 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:LUMN with a GF Score™ of 36/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN80.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 352 Telecommunication Services companies, Lumen Technologies ranks better than 92.05% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:LUMN' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.58   Med: -2.95   Max: -2.22
Current: -3.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Lumen Technologies was -2.22. The lowest was -3.58. And the median was -2.95.


Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Chart

Lumen Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.01 -2.88 -2.90 -3.06 -3.23

Lumen Technologies Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.95 -2.92 -3.23 -3.39 -3.58

MEX:LUMN vs IRDM, LBRDA, TDS: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lumen Technologies's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:LUMN
36GF Score
Lumen Technologies Inc MEX:LUMN
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lumen Technologies Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Lumen Technologies for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9279+0.528 * 0.9985+0.404 * 1.0385+0.892 * 0.8299+0.115 * 1.1714
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2792+4.679 * -0.211866-0.327 * 0.88
=-3.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun26) TTM:Last Year (Jun25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN24,533 Mil.
Revenue was 48944.445 + 52276.797 + 54755.334 + 56628.545 = MXN212,605 Mil.
Gross Profit was 24254.11 + 26399.873 + 25460.06 + 25443.405 = MXN101,557 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN71,698 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN537,115 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN354,215 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN48,129 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN60,043 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN74,385 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN229,454 Mil.
Net Income was -3507.249 + -3606.54 + -36.011 + -11391.748 = MXN-18,542 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -540.919 + 6888.491 + -810.257 + -7264.303 = MXN-1,727 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 16942.979 + 23857.262 + 10119.203 + 46062.286 = MXN96,982 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN31,859 Mil.
Revenue was 58219.886 + 65097.992 + 69428.625 + 63422.456 = MXN256,169 Mil.
Gross Profit was 27641.266 + 30585.009 + 33848.801 + 30106.469 = MXN122,182 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN145,682 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN620,912 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN351,447 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN57,271 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN56,558 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN68,388 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN330,735 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(24533.294 / 212605.121) / (31859.006 / 256168.959)
=0.115394 / 0.124367
=0.9279

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(122181.545 / 256168.959) / (101557.448 / 212605.121)
=0.476957 / 0.477681
=0.9985

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (71697.941 + 354214.7) / 537115.118) / (1 - (145681.52 + 351447.018) / 620911.699)
=0.207037 / 0.199357
=1.0385

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=212605.121 / 256168.959
=0.8299

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(57270.85 / (57270.85 + 351447.018)) / (48129.478 / (48129.478 + 354214.7))
=0.140123 / 0.119623
=1.1714

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(60043.435 / 212605.121) / (56558.183 / 256168.959)
=0.282418 / 0.220785
=1.2792

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((229454.35 + 74385.087) / 537115.118) / ((330734.898 + 68387.654) / 620911.699)
=0.565688 / 0.642801
=0.88

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-18541.548 - -1726.988 - 96981.73) / 537115.118
=-0.211866

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Lumen Technologies has a M-score of -3.66 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -3.58 mean?
Lumen Technologies (MEX:LUMN) has a Beneish M-Score of -3.58 as of Aug. 14, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lumen Technologies and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lumen Technologies ranks #28 out of 352 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, placing it in the top 8%.
Is Lumen Technologies' Beneish M-Score too high?
Lumen Technologies' current Beneish M-Score is -3.58. Based on the distribution chart, Lumen Technologies ranks #28 out of 352 companies in the Telecommunication Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lumen Technologies has a GF Score™ of 36/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lumen Technologies' Beneish M-Score compare to IRDM and LBRDA?
According to the Telecommunication Services industry distribution chart, Lumen Technologies ranks #28 out of 352 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Lumen Technologies in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Lumen Technologies and its competitors. Lumen Technologies's current Beneish M-Score is -3.58. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lumen Technologies stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lumen Technologies (MEX:LUMN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN80.74, compared to a current price of MXN107.00 — trading 32.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -3.58. Lumen Technologies' overall GF Score™ is 36/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lumen Technologies (MEX:LUMN), the current Beneish M-Score is -3.58 as of Aug. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lumen Technologies (MEX:LUMN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lumen Technologies stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN107.00 is trading 32.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN80.74. GuruFocus considers Lumen Technologies to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:LUMN:

  • Beneish M-Score: -3.58
  • GF Value™: MXN80.74 vs. price of MXN107.00 (32.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 36/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:LUMN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lumen Technologies Business Description

Address 100 CenturyLink Drive, Monroe, LA, USA, 71203
Lumen Technologies is one of the largest telecommunications carriers serving global enterprises. The merger with Level 3 in 2017, the 2022 divestiture of much of its local phone business in rural areas, and the 2026 sale of its remaining consumer fiber network to AT&T have shifted the company's operations away from the legacy consumer business and toward enterprise services, which account for about 85%-90% of revenue. Lumen offers businesses a full suite of communications services, providing colocation and data center services, data transportation, phone service, and internet access.
36GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:LUMN

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN107.00
Price
MXN80.74
GF Value