Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) Beneish M-Score: -2.10 (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


MEX:MUR Murphy Oil Corp MEX:MUR
61 GF Score
Price MXN684.04
GF Value MXN642.68
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Murphy Oil Beneish M-Score?

Murphy Oil MEX:MUR 61 Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MUR with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN642.68. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 822 Oil & Gas companies, Murphy Oil ranks worse than 80.29% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.1 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:MUR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -39.55   Med: -2.77   Max: 0.37
Current: -2.1

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Murphy Oil was 0.37. The lowest was -39.55. And the median was -2.77.


Murphy Oil Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Murphy Oil Beneish M-Score Chart

Murphy Oil Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.06 -2.67 -3.16 -3.10 -2.47

Murphy Oil Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.93 -2.81 -2.58 -2.47 -2.10

MEX:MUR vs CRC, MGY, CNX: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Murphy Oil Beneish M-Score vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:MUR
61GF Score
Murphy Oil Corp MEX:MUR
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Murphy Oil Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Murphy Oil for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.6591+0.528 * 1.0943+0.404 * 1.6748+0.892 * 0.8794+0.115 * 0.7992
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3417+4.679 * -0.106067-0.327 * 1.0428
=-2.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN8,425 Mil.
Revenue was 13206.32 + 11039.007 + 13225.545 + 12861.568 = MXN50,332 Mil.
Gross Profit was 5183.554 + 2942.131 + 3760.598 + 2901.9 = MXN14,788 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN16,896 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN180,970 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN162,360 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN19,006 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,586 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN20,452 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN36,558 Mil.
Net Income was 955.481 + 214.106 + -54.537 + 419.515 = MXN1,535 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -48.616 + -66.027 + -1834.42 + -576.682 = MXN-2,526 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 5791.815 + 4495.051 + 6226.59 + 6741.795 = MXN23,255 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN5,774 Mil.
Revenue was 13762.845 + 13964.434 + 14830.124 + 14674.531 = MXN57,232 Mil.
Gross Profit was 4595.73 + 3766.164 + 5103.982 + 4935.051 = MXN18,401 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN15,782 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN200,906 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN183,988 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN16,818 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN2,191 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN20,633 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN40,061 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(8425.4 / 50332.44) / (5774.306 / 57231.934)
=0.167395 / 0.100893
=1.6591

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18400.927 / 57231.934) / (14788.183 / 50332.44)
=0.321515 / 0.29381
=1.0943

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (16895.756 + 162359.921) / 180969.577) / (1 - (15781.681 + 183988.265) / 200906.132)
=0.009471 / 0.005655
=1.6748

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=50332.44 / 57231.934
=0.8794

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16817.55 / (16817.55 + 183988.265)) / (19005.733 / (19005.733 + 162359.921))
=0.08375 / 0.104792
=0.7992

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2585.76 / 50332.44) / (2191.448 / 57231.934)
=0.051374 / 0.038291
=1.3417

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((36557.837 + 20452.436) / 180969.577) / ((40061.206 + 20632.565) / 200906.132)
=0.315027 / 0.3021
=1.0428

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1534.565 - -2525.745 - 23255.251) / 180969.577
=-0.106067

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Murphy Oil has a M-score of -2.25 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 mean?
Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.10 as of Jun. 26, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Murphy Oil and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Murphy Oil ranks #660 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 80.3%.
Is Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score too high?
Murphy Oil's current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. Based on the distribution chart, Murphy Oil ranks #660 out of 822 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Murphy Oil has a GF Score™ of 61/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Murphy Oil's Beneish M-Score compare to CRC and MGY?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, Murphy Oil ranks #660 out of 822 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Murphy Oil in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Murphy Oil and its competitors. Murphy Oil's current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Murphy Oil stock overvalued right now?
Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) has a current Beneish M-Score of -2.10. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN642.68, compared to a current price of MXN684.04 — trading 6.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.10. Murphy Oil's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.10 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Murphy Oil stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN684.04 is trading 6.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN642.68.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MUR:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.10
  • GF Value™: MXN642.68 vs. price of MXN684.04 (6.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MUR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Murphy Oil Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges MUR:USA0K3S:UKMUQ:Germany
Address 9805 Katy Freeway, Suite G-200, Houston, TX, USA, 77024
Murphy Oil Corp is an oil and gas exploration and production company, with both onshore and offshore operations and properties. It operates in two geographic reportable segments the United States and Canada. It generates the majority of its revenue form the United States. The company also generates revenue from sales of oil and natural gas production activities.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MUR

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN684.04
Price
MXN642.68
GF Value