Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN19.51 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:MUR Murphy Oil Corp MEX:MUR
61 GF Score
Price MXN684.04
GF Value MXN644.31
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Murphy Oil MEX:MUR 61 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN19.51 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MUR with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN644.31. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Murphy Oil's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-11.158. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN19.51 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Murphy Oil's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1211.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Murphy Oil was 63.80% per year. The lowest was -71.00% per year. And the median was -7.70% per year.

As of today (2026-07-17), Murphy Oil's current stock price is MXN684.04. Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN19.51. Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 35.06.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Murphy Oil was 282.56. The lowest was 27.02. And the median was 44.99.


Murphy Oil  (MEX:MUR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=684.04/19.51
=35.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Murphy Oil was 282.56. The lowest was 27.02. And the median was 44.99.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Murphy Oil Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -19.72 -2.81 18.21

Murphy Oil Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.05 10.01 11.13 18.21 19.51

MEX:MUR vs MGY, CNX, CRC: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:MUR
61GF Score
Murphy Oil Corp MEX:MUR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Murphy Oil Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Murphy Oil's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-11.158/330.2130*330.2130
=-11.158

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Murphy Oil Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -34.420 241.018 -47.158
201609 -1.400 241.428 -1.915
201612 20.634 241.432 28.222
201703 10.213 243.801 13.833
201706 6.906 244.955 9.310
201709 -4.987 246.819 -6.672
201712 13.448 246.524 18.013
201803 20.663 249.554 27.342
201806 -48.808 251.989 -63.959
201809 43.777 252.439 57.264
201812 -92.832 251.233 -122.016
201903 -5.908 254.202 -7.675
201906 -131.961 256.143 -170.121
201909 27.163 256.759 34.934
201912 0.098 256.974 0.126
202003 2.528 258.115 3.234
202006 -35.527 257.797 -45.507
202009 10.676 260.280 13.544
202012 9.787 260.474 12.407
202103 -2.724 264.877 -3.396
202106 31.426 271.696 38.194
202109 37.725 274.310 45.413
202112 29.836 278.802 35.338
202203 12.007 287.504 13.791
202206 34.051 296.311 37.947
202209 48.033 296.808 53.439
202212 40.879 296.797 45.482
202303 -7.506 301.836 -8.212
202306 13.129 305.109 14.209
202309 25.074 307.789 26.901
202312 40.089 306.746 43.156
202403 16.153 312.332 17.078
202406 23.909 314.175 25.130
202409 27.839 315.301 29.156
202412 36.752 315.605 38.453
202503 -9.745 319.799 -10.062
202506 6.365 322.561 6.516
202509 21.521 324.800 21.880
202512 6.421 324.054 6.543
202603 -11.158 330.213 -11.158

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN19.51 mean?
Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN19.51 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Murphy Oil and its competitors.
Is Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Murphy Oil's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN19.51. Overall, Murphy Oil has a GF Score™ of 61/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to MGY and CNX?
Murphy Oil's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN19.51 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Murphy Oil and its competitors. Murphy Oil's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN19.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Murphy Oil stock overvalued right now?
Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN19.51. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN644.31, compared to a current price of MXN684.04 — trading 6.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN19.51. Murphy Oil's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN19.51 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Murphy Oil (MEX:MUR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Murphy Oil stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN684.04 is trading 6.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN644.31.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MUR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN19.51
  • GF Value™: MXN644.31 vs. price of MXN684.04 (6.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MUR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Murphy Oil Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges MUR:USA0K3S:UKMUQ:Germany
Address 9805 Katy Freeway, Suite G-200, Houston, TX, USA, 77024
Murphy Oil Corp is an oil and gas exploration and production company, with both onshore and offshore operations and properties. It operates in two geographic reportable segments the United States and Canada. It generates the majority of its revenue form the United States. The company also generates revenue from sales of oil and natural gas production activities.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MUR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN684.04
Price
MXN644.31
GF Value